Last day of "Battle of the Blogs", and I forgot all about it. I went into today with a 3 game lead finishing yesterday 6-4 while Zom finished a solid 5-5. It would take a near fatal collapse for me to lose but we will see. I ain't seen the Zoms picks but hope he does not have a "career day". Otherwises it looks like I might beat the Zom and his great blog at: www.bleaklookatcash.blogspot.com. A great blog for insite and info. I will just list my picks for today and tomorrow morning/afternoon.
Tiger Woods Win vs. Lee Westwood/Ryo Ishikawa-Win/Tie- Tiger Woods
Tony Martin vs. Bradley Wiggins-Tony Martin
Jim Furyk Win/Tie vs. Paddy Harrington Win-Jim Furyk Win/Tie
Hammarby vs. BK Hacken-BK Hacken
159 points or fewer vs. 160 points or more- 159 or fewer
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals- Chicago Cubs
4 hits or fewer vs. 5 hits or more- 5 hits or more
David Beckham Win/Tie vs. Landon Donovan Win-David Beckham Win/Tie
53 points or fewer vs. 54 points or more- 53 points or fewer
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics- LAA
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres- Colorado Rockies
Angel Cabrera Win/Tie vs. Paul Casey Win- PGA.
You may read this on the comment board too.
I really think that Casey takes this. I would be reluctant to go against a win/tie but lets face it it does not happen very much in PGA. Paul Casey is -2 under and Angel Cabrera is -1 under. So in essence on paper this looks like a dead heat. Not quite Paul Casey finished a respectable 7th whereas Cabrera did not even make the cut last year. The only thing that is going in Cabrera's favor is his play over the last few tournaments. Casey has either struggled or not made the cut, and Cabrera has made the cut and finished decent. I am taking Casey, and I would recommend you do so too.
Vegas Odds:
Casey 1/1 (Even)
Cabrera 2/3 (slightly favored)
SM's reason for the prop: Win/Tie looks tempting, but he realizes that these are more Casey's kind of course and that Cabrera may be the better golfer, just not on these courses.
Alberto Contador vs. Lance Armstrong- Cycling
I would go Contador. Armstrong is winning 85% of the vote due to name recognition. This is the best value as far as a morning pick. Although I will not pick it because I want to get both golf in I think that the Vegas odds say enough. 3/10 Contador vs. Armstrong 11/5. That means for those who do not know that if you bet $10 dollars and Contador wins you only get $3 back giving you $13. Whereas if you bet $5 on Armstrong you could win $11 and could end up getting $16 back. This means that Contador is favored heavily. A very favored pick. and if you are looking for one underlying reason to take Armstrong, he has been more consistent. But Contador when he has had it on he has had it on. Very iffy though at times. I still with all that said like Contador and the lower % to take the W.
Vegas odds:
Contador: 3/10 (huge favorite)
Armstrong: 11/5 ( huge underdog)
Sm's reason for this prop: Name Recognition 110%. If people didn't pick based on names then this in my opinion is a 75/25 in favor of Contador.
What will Tiger Woods shoot?
68 or lower?
69 or higher?
I would go Contador. Armstrong is winning 85% of the vote due to name recognition. This is the best value as far as a morning pick. Although I will not pick it because I want to get both golf in I think that the Vegas odds say enough. 3/10 Contador vs. Armstrong 11/5. That means for those who do not know that if you bet $10 dollars and Contador wins you only get $3 back giving you $13. Whereas if you bet $5 on Armstrong you could win $11 and could end up getting $16 back. This means that Contador is favored heavily. A very favored pick. and if you are looking for one underlying reason to take Armstrong, he has been more consistent. But Contador when he has had it on he has had it on. Very iffy though at times. I still with all that said like Contador and the lower % to take the W.
SM's reason for this prop: He realizes people will think since he had a bad day on Thursday, he will be "due" for a good day. Not True! It will be raining sideways and the last time he was here he finished a 74 second round.
FC Karnten Win or Draw vs. FC Magna Wr. Neustadt Win- Soccer
There is not a lot you can go off of since this is the first game of the season, but if those odds are true what Philz82961 put up that is pretty convincing. But even with that Vegas is on average right in my opinion about 66-75% of the time. So going with the odds all morning I am going against them here. This typically happens on here. You get a really good 3rd World country team against a really sucky or average team and the sucky/average team finds some unknown way to muster a draw. Besides the draw has won 4 of the last 5 matches on SFTC and the last to win with just the W was today and they got lucky and God only knows how they did it but they scored 2 goals in injury time. I had a 17W last segment and made my living off of these win/draw teams, and most of the time when the w/d is hot. They usually stay that way for a while. I don't know my mind might change but I still give the edge to the FC Karnten. They to are considered the best team in the Austrian Bundesliga. So with the draw in their favor I like them. But the SM must see something in this game to make him want to put it up and think that he can lure people in. Idk but the w/d is what I think.
Vegas Odds:
FC Karnten: +330
FC Magna: -133
Draw: +230
Sm's reason for prop: This is the first game of the season for either of the two of these two teams. So I think that it could go either way but draw in my opinion best option.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!!
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
SFTC-July 15th edition
Hello streakers, well myself and Zom are competing hard and are nearly at a dead lock right now. I still hold a two game lead over him, but am not in the most comfortable postition right now. We both finished 7-4-2 yesterday putting me at a 39-29-3, and Zom at 37-31-3. So as we roll through the next 2 days I hope today to lengthen my lead over Zom. A four game lead after today would be a very comfortable place to be.
Argentina vs. Britain-Womens Field Hockey.
I have heard that Argentina is undefeated and are at like -600 on odds. Whereas Britain is +145. So I'll take my chances with Argentina.
Sm's reason for prop: I believe since ESPN 360 is covering it he is wanting to get a little bit of exposure to it.
Will Mark Cavendish finish in the top three in stage 11-cycling.
I will say yes but not with nearly the comfort that I would like to. Cavendish is not a real good climber of mountains and is more of a sprinter and enjoys the level ground. So yes but would not be suprised to see this one go the other way.
Sm's reason for the prop: Cavendish is well known on SFTC and since he is as good as he is he wants people to think that he will run away with it.
Staebak W vs. Kf Tiran W/D-Soccer.
I think that after the win or draws success lately I will take it. I believe that it will be like a 1-1 game, and also vegas has Tiran favored which if you have played SFTC alot you would realize that the W/D is usually not favored.
Sm's reason for this prop: He is thinking that this will be an upset by the Staebak team, taking Tiran on the draw.
Jodie Meeks vs. Joe Alexander- NBA
I don't know the message board is split on this one, but I will take Meeks. Although they both have played against Sacremento and averaged over 20 ppg. Alexander scored 24 and Meeks 20. So I'll take Meeks but I don't think that it will be nearly as spread out as the Tyreke Evans/Brandon Jennings prop was. This one will be close.
Sm's reason for the prop: Meeks is more well known. He had 54 pts against the Vols and Joe Alexander was just a consistent player throughout his collegiate career. But in the end Meeks wins.
How many points will DeMar DeRozan have?
15 or fewer?
16 or more?
I think that this one is about the easiest one on here I think except Argentina. DeRozan averages 15 ppg. He has had 20,15,10 in his 3 games. And he is playing against the Suns. They don't play defense they haven't played defense since the days of Charles Barkley and even then it was not a necceassity to play in Phoenix. Phoenix D+ a good young player= 16 or more points.
Sm's reason for prop: Its like I usually say name recognition is everything on these props. People think that since they never heard of DeRozan in college that he must not be good. Well not the case he just played at a football school at USC. He will probably have 20 pts.
2009 Triple A allstar game who wins?:
International League
Pacific Coast League
I will go with the International League in the past they have owned the PCL about like the way that AL has owned the NL. So I think that IL gets it done once again.
SM's reason for prop: It is being televised on ESPN and they are wanting to get some more viewers for it so this is the way to do it.
Estudiantes de la Plata vs. Cruzeiro MG how many goals will be scored?
2 goals or fewer.
3 or more.
I heard that these two teams tied 0-0 there 1st game and I really don't see these two teams going off.
Sm's reason for this prop: Most people think that 3 goals is an easy task to accomplish in a game its not.
Who will have the higher total?
Jered Bayless: Pts. + Stl.
Joey Dorsey: Pts. + Rebs.
Although contrare to popular belief Dorsey is averaging 10-14 a game. Whereas Bayless is averaging 22-1. So with Rockets being a good at defense I think that they keep him to about 17. And dorsey gets a Double-Double.
Sm's reason for prop: Joey Dorsey is a better all around player. So I will go with the Rockets defense to do good with Bayless and Dorsey to get his 10-15.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!!
Argentina vs. Britain-Womens Field Hockey.
I have heard that Argentina is undefeated and are at like -600 on odds. Whereas Britain is +145. So I'll take my chances with Argentina.
Sm's reason for prop: I believe since ESPN 360 is covering it he is wanting to get a little bit of exposure to it.
Will Mark Cavendish finish in the top three in stage 11-cycling.
I will say yes but not with nearly the comfort that I would like to. Cavendish is not a real good climber of mountains and is more of a sprinter and enjoys the level ground. So yes but would not be suprised to see this one go the other way.
Sm's reason for the prop: Cavendish is well known on SFTC and since he is as good as he is he wants people to think that he will run away with it.
Staebak W vs. Kf Tiran W/D-Soccer.
I think that after the win or draws success lately I will take it. I believe that it will be like a 1-1 game, and also vegas has Tiran favored which if you have played SFTC alot you would realize that the W/D is usually not favored.
Sm's reason for this prop: He is thinking that this will be an upset by the Staebak team, taking Tiran on the draw.
Jodie Meeks vs. Joe Alexander- NBA
I don't know the message board is split on this one, but I will take Meeks. Although they both have played against Sacremento and averaged over 20 ppg. Alexander scored 24 and Meeks 20. So I'll take Meeks but I don't think that it will be nearly as spread out as the Tyreke Evans/Brandon Jennings prop was. This one will be close.
Sm's reason for the prop: Meeks is more well known. He had 54 pts against the Vols and Joe Alexander was just a consistent player throughout his collegiate career. But in the end Meeks wins.
How many points will DeMar DeRozan have?
15 or fewer?
16 or more?
I think that this one is about the easiest one on here I think except Argentina. DeRozan averages 15 ppg. He has had 20,15,10 in his 3 games. And he is playing against the Suns. They don't play defense they haven't played defense since the days of Charles Barkley and even then it was not a necceassity to play in Phoenix. Phoenix D+ a good young player= 16 or more points.
Sm's reason for prop: Its like I usually say name recognition is everything on these props. People think that since they never heard of DeRozan in college that he must not be good. Well not the case he just played at a football school at USC. He will probably have 20 pts.
2009 Triple A allstar game who wins?:
International League
Pacific Coast League
I will go with the International League in the past they have owned the PCL about like the way that AL has owned the NL. So I think that IL gets it done once again.
SM's reason for prop: It is being televised on ESPN and they are wanting to get some more viewers for it so this is the way to do it.
Estudiantes de la Plata vs. Cruzeiro MG how many goals will be scored?
2 goals or fewer.
3 or more.
I heard that these two teams tied 0-0 there 1st game and I really don't see these two teams going off.
Sm's reason for this prop: Most people think that 3 goals is an easy task to accomplish in a game its not.
Who will have the higher total?
Jered Bayless: Pts. + Stl.
Joey Dorsey: Pts. + Rebs.
Although contrare to popular belief Dorsey is averaging 10-14 a game. Whereas Bayless is averaging 22-1. So with Rockets being a good at defense I think that they keep him to about 17. And dorsey gets a Double-Double.
Sm's reason for prop: Joey Dorsey is a better all around player. So I will go with the Rockets defense to do good with Bayless and Dorsey to get his 10-15.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!!
Tuesday, July 14, 2009
SFTC- Tuesday July 14th edition
Well people I am pumped. Mark Cavendish just won in a thriller. Cycling is probably the most fun sport to watch come down to the end. Welll as far as "The Battle of the Blogs". I went 3-4 and Zombidwee went 3-4 also. Putting him at a record of 30-27-1 and me winning at a record of 32-25-1.
I will just post my picks seeing as how most of them are not on vegas and are tossups.
Mark Cavendish vs. Any other Cyclist-Mark Cavendish
Alla Kudryavtseva vs. Nicole Vaidisova- Nicole Vaidisova
Nuria Llagostera Vives vs. Masa Zec Peskiric- Nuria Llagostera Vives
Young Boys W/D vs. FC Zurich W- Young Boys W/D
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun- Connecticut Sun
69 or fewer vs. 70 or more- 69 or fewer
With team will score first- AL
Who will win- NL
How many runs will be scored in the 3rd- 1 or more runs
Which team will have more runs in the 5th- AL W/T
Who will allow fewer hits- Mariono Rivera
What will the final out of the game be?- FB or GB.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!
I will just post my picks seeing as how most of them are not on vegas and are tossups.
Mark Cavendish vs. Any other Cyclist-Mark Cavendish
Alla Kudryavtseva vs. Nicole Vaidisova- Nicole Vaidisova
Nuria Llagostera Vives vs. Masa Zec Peskiric- Nuria Llagostera Vives
Young Boys W/D vs. FC Zurich W- Young Boys W/D
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun- Connecticut Sun
69 or fewer vs. 70 or more- 69 or fewer
With team will score first- AL
Who will win- NL
How many runs will be scored in the 3rd- 1 or more runs
Which team will have more runs in the 5th- AL W/T
Who will allow fewer hits- Mariono Rivera
What will the final out of the game be?- FB or GB.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!
Monday, July 13, 2009
SFTC Monday-July 13th edition
Well I have taken a another game up on the Zom as we are at the halfway point of the "Battle of the Blogs". I am 29-21-1. While Zom finished yesterday 6-6 and is 27-23-1. So I take a 2 game lead into Monday.
Heres a rundown.
Victor Crivio vs. Denis Istomin-Tennis
I really didn't do any research on this one but I stupidly took Denis Istomin. I really felt as though he could take it but lost.
Orebo SK vs. Trelleborgs FF-Soccer
This was a game that I was going to go with the Orebo but went the losing end again.
Home Run Derby-Albert Pujols/Ryan Howard vs. Any other contestant.
I really feel as though AP will take this. There is to much in his favor. Besides the fact that this is his park and he is used to hitting homers out, he to leads the league in homers. So with AP and Ryan Howard on the board I am going to be hard pressed to go against them two.
Sm's reason for the prop: He feels as though there will be a dark horse that will take it home, like the Carlos Pena, Brandon Inge players, I do not feel as though so.
How many homers will be hit in a single round?
15 or fewer
16 or more
I will say 15 or fewer. Yeah you can bring up the Bobby Abreus' and Josh Hamiltons, but in reality I really don't see it happening. If you go past the first round I really don't see it happening. There arms will be fatigued after one round. And although Busch Stadium is not exactly a hitters park it is not like Dolphin Stadium either. So I'll take 11,12, but not 15,16. Just don't see it.
SM's reason for prop: The SM wants you to remember the BA and JH slugfest of the past. I don't see it happening though.
How many points will Blake Griffin score?
14 or fewer.
15 or more.
I think that if Adam Morrison can average 23 ppg that Griffin is atleast good for 15. He seems to be the kind of player that could fit in the NBA quickly. This is your easiest pick of the day.
SM's reason for prop: He doesn't think that since Griffin is playing against the Lakers (NBA Champs) and is just starting out that he will not have as much an impact.
How many homers will be hit in the final round?-HR Derby
5 or fewer
6 or more
I will go with 5 or fewer. Guys tend to have arm fatigue and only hit 4-5 homers. I also heard that the winner the past 6 years has only hit 6 or more once. So its pretty safe to say that whoever it is will probably on hit 3-5.
SM's reason for prop: 6 homers does not seem like alot in a hr. derby. But numbers can be deceiveing.
Who will have the higher total?
Tyreke Evans: Pts. + Ast.
Brandon Jennings: Pts. + Ast.
I think that Evans is a safe pick here. He has averaged 23 combined whereas Jennings has averaged 21 which makes it close. I still think that not playing in the D-1 level hurt him. So even though on paper it is close I think that Evans pulls it out.
Sm's reason for prop: Not alot of people have heard of Brandon Jennings since he went to the European leagues to play instead of college. But he puts up decent numbers just not as good as Tyreke Evans.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!
Heres a rundown.
Victor Crivio vs. Denis Istomin-Tennis
I really didn't do any research on this one but I stupidly took Denis Istomin. I really felt as though he could take it but lost.
Orebo SK vs. Trelleborgs FF-Soccer
This was a game that I was going to go with the Orebo but went the losing end again.
Home Run Derby-Albert Pujols/Ryan Howard vs. Any other contestant.
I really feel as though AP will take this. There is to much in his favor. Besides the fact that this is his park and he is used to hitting homers out, he to leads the league in homers. So with AP and Ryan Howard on the board I am going to be hard pressed to go against them two.
Sm's reason for the prop: He feels as though there will be a dark horse that will take it home, like the Carlos Pena, Brandon Inge players, I do not feel as though so.
How many homers will be hit in a single round?
15 or fewer
16 or more
I will say 15 or fewer. Yeah you can bring up the Bobby Abreus' and Josh Hamiltons, but in reality I really don't see it happening. If you go past the first round I really don't see it happening. There arms will be fatigued after one round. And although Busch Stadium is not exactly a hitters park it is not like Dolphin Stadium either. So I'll take 11,12, but not 15,16. Just don't see it.
SM's reason for prop: The SM wants you to remember the BA and JH slugfest of the past. I don't see it happening though.
How many points will Blake Griffin score?
14 or fewer.
15 or more.
I think that if Adam Morrison can average 23 ppg that Griffin is atleast good for 15. He seems to be the kind of player that could fit in the NBA quickly. This is your easiest pick of the day.
SM's reason for prop: He doesn't think that since Griffin is playing against the Lakers (NBA Champs) and is just starting out that he will not have as much an impact.
How many homers will be hit in the final round?-HR Derby
5 or fewer
6 or more
I will go with 5 or fewer. Guys tend to have arm fatigue and only hit 4-5 homers. I also heard that the winner the past 6 years has only hit 6 or more once. So its pretty safe to say that whoever it is will probably on hit 3-5.
SM's reason for prop: 6 homers does not seem like alot in a hr. derby. But numbers can be deceiveing.
Who will have the higher total?
Tyreke Evans: Pts. + Ast.
Brandon Jennings: Pts. + Ast.
I think that Evans is a safe pick here. He has averaged 23 combined whereas Jennings has averaged 21 which makes it close. I still think that not playing in the D-1 level hurt him. So even though on paper it is close I think that Evans pulls it out.
Sm's reason for prop: Not alot of people have heard of Brandon Jennings since he went to the European leagues to play instead of college. But he puts up decent numbers just not as good as Tyreke Evans.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!
Sunday, July 12, 2009
SFTC Sunday July 12th
Well I have taken the lead over Zombidwee. Zom went into yesterday with a 13-9-1 record and I had a 12-10-1. I went 10-6 he went 8-8. So he is 21-17-1 and I am 22-16-1. Today I will just give my picks since I am to busy to make the full blog.
Steve Stricker vs. Darren Stiles- Darren Stiles.
Marin Cilic vs. James Blake- James Blake.
Danica Patrick vs. Dan Wheldon- Dan Wheldon.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (Game 1)- Chicago Cubs.
Cincinatti Reds vs. New York Mets- Cincinatti Reds.
Cristie Kerr vs. Rest of field-Cristie Kerr
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers-Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins-Minnesota
Cork vs. Sligo- Cork
Aletico vs. Cruzeiro- Aletico
Minnesota vs. San Antonio- San Antonio
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (Game 2)-St. Louis.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!
Steve Stricker vs. Darren Stiles- Darren Stiles.
Marin Cilic vs. James Blake- James Blake.
Danica Patrick vs. Dan Wheldon- Dan Wheldon.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (Game 1)- Chicago Cubs.
Cincinatti Reds vs. New York Mets- Cincinatti Reds.
Cristie Kerr vs. Rest of field-Cristie Kerr
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers-Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins-Minnesota
Cork vs. Sligo- Cork
Aletico vs. Cruzeiro- Aletico
Minnesota vs. San Antonio- San Antonio
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (Game 2)-St. Louis.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!
Saturday, July 11, 2009
Streak for the Cash: July 11th Edition
I will go straight to my soccer pick since yesterday I already gave you my golf pick.I gained a game on him finishing the day a subpar 5-5-1. Whereas he finished 4-6-1. So for the battle thus far my record is 12-10-1 and Zom is 13-9-1.
Grasshoppers W vs. FC Aarau- Soccer.
Well this game as far as Vegas is concerned is a tossup and if it is a tossup I will always and forever go with the draw. Those guys go and tend to draw more than most teams.
Vegas Odds:
Grasshoppers: +155
FC Aarau: +190
Draw: +241
SM's reason for the prop: This is the first game of the year anything can happen especially with these odds.
Paula Creamer W/D vs. Cristie Kerr- Golf
Yesterday Paula Creamer shocked 92% of us with her magnificent 2nd round. Cristie Kerr on the other hand has faired well having a -3 going into round 3. Paula Creamers pick looks good because of the draw option.
SM's reason for the prop: Kerr has been consistent and Creamer went off yesterday and a really good round so, do you take whose hot or consistent? I'll take the hot.
Houston vs. Seattle-Soccer.
Seattle draws about every other game so the draw is really looking good at the moment. I don't know how good the Dynamo are on the road but they draw a decent amount too.
Vegas Odds:
Houston:+135
Seattle:+175
Draw:+225
SM's reason for the prop: Typically Seattle holds there own at home and Houston not so much on the road so I like the draw the SM thinks Seattle.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
I really think that the Yanks had that one under control last night until Joba let that 3 run jack go and it cost them momentum. With Jared Weaver on the mound with a 9-3 3.15 ERA. I like the Angels to pull out another game. Andy Pettite is shown signs of aging even with his respectable 8-4 4.53 ERA I really like him but just not against Jared Weaver at home.
Accurscore:
NYY:42%
LAA:58%
Vegas Odds:
NYY:-114
LAA: -106
Sheridans odds: NYY 11:10
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystic-WNBA
I understand that last night both road teams won pretty heavily i like the Mystic. I don't understand all the hoopla about Candace Parker. She is coming back after maternity leave. I mean that is why 90% of people are taking them. Take the Mystic.
Sheridan Odds:
Wash.: -3
LA:+3
Sm's reason for the prop: He realizes the masses will take the Sparks because of Candace Parker's name recognition. I like th odds.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins-MLB
This is one you don't see to often. Two pitchers who pitched there last game against the same team. Gavin Floyd pitched against the Royals and lost going 5.1 and giving up 5 ER. Whereas Glen Perkins pitched 7 innings of 1 run baseball. So with that said the Twins hit better and seem to have the better pitcher although the stats say its a pretty even pitching matchup.
Accurscore:
MIN: 60%
CHW:40%
Vegas Odds:
MIN:-120
CHW:Even
Sheridans Odds: MIN 6:5
SM's reason for prop: Two evenly matched pitchers and two decent hitting teams.
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty-WNBA
I really like the Liberty here. They already beat the Dream once this season. They are at home and although score the fewest points in the WNBA, they have had success scoring against the Dream averaging 83 ppg.
Sheridans Odds:
NY: -4
ATL: +4
Sm's reason for the prop: He is expecting the Dream to get revenge. I just don't see it happening.
Matt Grice vs. Shannon Gugerty: MMA
Love this stuff. I really don't like this matchup. Although percentages have Gugerty at a heavily favored odds I still think that Grice could pull it off. From what I have read this is a complete deadlock as far as Vegas Odds. I still think that Gugerty pulls it out but not comfortable enough to pick it. Besides that it has the 90% curse and Rambo will probably jack this up.
Vegas Odds: The lines have moved but I still like it to be close
MG: +125
SG:-155
Sm's reason for the prop: He likes everybody to jump on SG's bandwagon and watch it collapse. I would not at all doubt it happening.
Kyle Busch vs. Tony Stewart- NASCAR
I will take Stewart on this one. Kyle Busch won this event last year and all but Tony Stewart has 6 straight top ten finishes. I really like the idea of his getting a seventh the only question is where will Busch get?
SM's reason for prop: Busch runs traditionally better at this track but Stewart is on a tear.
Columbus W/D vs. Chicago W-MLS
I like the Crew to W/D in this one. With the draw it gives more of an advantage.
Vegas Odds:
Columbus W/D:-192
Chicago:+110
SM's reason for prop: Expecting an upset by the Fire.
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies-MLB
Although Jurrgens has a lower ERA I still like the Rockies with Marquis to win it. I have heard of "Mile High Magic" which is why they have a decent home record. I really like there bats also so I'll take the Rockies.
Accuscore:
ATL:40%
COL60%
Vegas Odds:
ATL:+107
COL:-117
SM's reason for prop: Jurrgens has a low ERA and thinks he can hold the Rocks bats down and thinks that Marquis may get fits from the Braves.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Sacremento Monarchs-WNBA
This is alot tighter than %'s show. These two teams have split the season series thus far and I still even with the lopsided %'s like the Mercury to pull it out. PHO has played better lately and the Monarchs uh not so much. I like the Mercury to pull this one out.
Sheridans Odds: Sacremento -1
Phoenix: +1
Sm's reason for prop: Looking at records tells the tale of the lopsided %'s. He likes the Monarchs i don't.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners-MLB
I like the Rangers in this. Although we have two decent pitchers they both have had there rough streches this year and currently Kevin Millwood is on his. I think the Mariners choke like usual on SFTC and Rangers get the W.
Vegas Odds:
TEX:EVEN
SEA: -110
SM's reason for prop: Everybody most likely will jump on the Rangers bandwagon and he thinks that Washburn pitches well enough to get the W.
Dan Henderson vs. Michael Bisping- MMA
Everything that I have read shows that Henderson is the clear favorite. That scares me because everything on here is no gimme. But Henderson is favored and I like the idea of him winning.
Vegas Odds:
DH:-260
MB:+200
Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir-MMA
This is the fight that I really want to see. Lesnar is favored the other day according to Danny Sheridan by a 2:1 favor. Pretty heavily favored by him especially. I think Lesnar handles business well and gets the W.
Vegas Odds:
BL:-255
FM:+195
Happy Streaking and I hope all enjoy the MMA bouts they are exciting. God Bless!!!
Grasshoppers W vs. FC Aarau- Soccer.
Well this game as far as Vegas is concerned is a tossup and if it is a tossup I will always and forever go with the draw. Those guys go and tend to draw more than most teams.
Vegas Odds:
Grasshoppers: +155
FC Aarau: +190
Draw: +241
SM's reason for the prop: This is the first game of the year anything can happen especially with these odds.
Paula Creamer W/D vs. Cristie Kerr- Golf
Yesterday Paula Creamer shocked 92% of us with her magnificent 2nd round. Cristie Kerr on the other hand has faired well having a -3 going into round 3. Paula Creamers pick looks good because of the draw option.
SM's reason for the prop: Kerr has been consistent and Creamer went off yesterday and a really good round so, do you take whose hot or consistent? I'll take the hot.
Houston vs. Seattle-Soccer.
Seattle draws about every other game so the draw is really looking good at the moment. I don't know how good the Dynamo are on the road but they draw a decent amount too.
Vegas Odds:
Houston:+135
Seattle:+175
Draw:+225
SM's reason for the prop: Typically Seattle holds there own at home and Houston not so much on the road so I like the draw the SM thinks Seattle.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
I really think that the Yanks had that one under control last night until Joba let that 3 run jack go and it cost them momentum. With Jared Weaver on the mound with a 9-3 3.15 ERA. I like the Angels to pull out another game. Andy Pettite is shown signs of aging even with his respectable 8-4 4.53 ERA I really like him but just not against Jared Weaver at home.
Accurscore:
NYY:42%
LAA:58%
Vegas Odds:
NYY:-114
LAA: -106
Sheridans odds: NYY 11:10
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystic-WNBA
I understand that last night both road teams won pretty heavily i like the Mystic. I don't understand all the hoopla about Candace Parker. She is coming back after maternity leave. I mean that is why 90% of people are taking them. Take the Mystic.
Sheridan Odds:
Wash.: -3
LA:+3
Sm's reason for the prop: He realizes the masses will take the Sparks because of Candace Parker's name recognition. I like th odds.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins-MLB
This is one you don't see to often. Two pitchers who pitched there last game against the same team. Gavin Floyd pitched against the Royals and lost going 5.1 and giving up 5 ER. Whereas Glen Perkins pitched 7 innings of 1 run baseball. So with that said the Twins hit better and seem to have the better pitcher although the stats say its a pretty even pitching matchup.
Accurscore:
MIN: 60%
CHW:40%
Vegas Odds:
MIN:-120
CHW:Even
Sheridans Odds: MIN 6:5
SM's reason for prop: Two evenly matched pitchers and two decent hitting teams.
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty-WNBA
I really like the Liberty here. They already beat the Dream once this season. They are at home and although score the fewest points in the WNBA, they have had success scoring against the Dream averaging 83 ppg.
Sheridans Odds:
NY: -4
ATL: +4
Sm's reason for the prop: He is expecting the Dream to get revenge. I just don't see it happening.
Matt Grice vs. Shannon Gugerty: MMA
Love this stuff. I really don't like this matchup. Although percentages have Gugerty at a heavily favored odds I still think that Grice could pull it off. From what I have read this is a complete deadlock as far as Vegas Odds. I still think that Gugerty pulls it out but not comfortable enough to pick it. Besides that it has the 90% curse and Rambo will probably jack this up.
Vegas Odds: The lines have moved but I still like it to be close
MG: +125
SG:-155
Sm's reason for the prop: He likes everybody to jump on SG's bandwagon and watch it collapse. I would not at all doubt it happening.
Kyle Busch vs. Tony Stewart- NASCAR
I will take Stewart on this one. Kyle Busch won this event last year and all but Tony Stewart has 6 straight top ten finishes. I really like the idea of his getting a seventh the only question is where will Busch get?
SM's reason for prop: Busch runs traditionally better at this track but Stewart is on a tear.
Columbus W/D vs. Chicago W-MLS
I like the Crew to W/D in this one. With the draw it gives more of an advantage.
Vegas Odds:
Columbus W/D:-192
Chicago:+110
SM's reason for prop: Expecting an upset by the Fire.
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies-MLB
Although Jurrgens has a lower ERA I still like the Rockies with Marquis to win it. I have heard of "Mile High Magic" which is why they have a decent home record. I really like there bats also so I'll take the Rockies.
Accuscore:
ATL:40%
COL60%
Vegas Odds:
ATL:+107
COL:-117
SM's reason for prop: Jurrgens has a low ERA and thinks he can hold the Rocks bats down and thinks that Marquis may get fits from the Braves.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Sacremento Monarchs-WNBA
This is alot tighter than %'s show. These two teams have split the season series thus far and I still even with the lopsided %'s like the Mercury to pull it out. PHO has played better lately and the Monarchs uh not so much. I like the Mercury to pull this one out.
Sheridans Odds: Sacremento -1
Phoenix: +1
Sm's reason for prop: Looking at records tells the tale of the lopsided %'s. He likes the Monarchs i don't.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners-MLB
I like the Rangers in this. Although we have two decent pitchers they both have had there rough streches this year and currently Kevin Millwood is on his. I think the Mariners choke like usual on SFTC and Rangers get the W.
Vegas Odds:
TEX:EVEN
SEA: -110
SM's reason for prop: Everybody most likely will jump on the Rangers bandwagon and he thinks that Washburn pitches well enough to get the W.
Dan Henderson vs. Michael Bisping- MMA
Everything that I have read shows that Henderson is the clear favorite. That scares me because everything on here is no gimme. But Henderson is favored and I like the idea of him winning.
Vegas Odds:
DH:-260
MB:+200
Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir-MMA
This is the fight that I really want to see. Lesnar is favored the other day according to Danny Sheridan by a 2:1 favor. Pretty heavily favored by him especially. I think Lesnar handles business well and gets the W.
Vegas Odds:
BL:-255
FM:+195
Happy Streaking and I hope all enjoy the MMA bouts they are exciting. God Bless!!!
Friday, July 10, 2009
Streak for the Cash: July 10th
Hello Streakers. Well Zombidwee has a slight edge over me after a late inning rally by the Marlins gave me 7/12 wins on the day and Zom 9/12 wins on the day.
Mark Calcavecchia vs. Woody Austin/tie- Golf-Lower front nine prop.
Although Calcavecchia had a better first round, I think that Austin and him tie second. Calcavecchia has been known to get off to hot starts and die down. Whereas Austin has started slower and gained momentum throughout tournaments.
SM's reason for this prop: Calcavecchia looked better yesterday and seemed to play better, but he has been known to fade and Austin has been known to comeback and play better.
Lorena Ochoa vs. Paula Creamer-LPGA-Lower 2nd Round.
Although I think that Ochoa wins this the thing that scares me is that she is not done very good on the back nine at this tournament. Whereas Paula Creamer has. I still thing Ochoa is better and wins this. But beware of the back nine where she struggled yesterday. I really don't even see this being a tie.
Sm's reason for the prop: I can only see that Ochoa struggled on the back nine and expects Paula Creamer to take advantage of it. After all she did double bogey yesterday and without that and a few more pars she would have been tied with her. Just don't see it happening.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs-MLB
Although reports have Chris Carpenter and Brad Thompson starting I think that Carpenter starts from all signs he is but that is just some food for thought. I mean if Thompson does start I still don't see Rich Harden being over powerful anyways. I maybe inclined to take this one if Carpenter pitches but probably will not with the Cubs reputation on SFTC. I most likely will take Ochoa.
Accuscore:
Cards:63%
Cubs:37%
Sheridans Odds: Cards 13:10
Vegas Odds:
Cards: -136
Cubs:+116
Pick slot: I would risk between a 7-10 on this. Not much more because this is a tight knit rivalry and in most instances ought to be left alone. I personally wount take it because its a game involving the Cubs. :)
Sm's reason for the prop: Cubs/Cards always a great rivalry. The Cards lead the season series and it should be a close one.
Galway United vs. St. Patricks-Soccer
Well the St. Patricks team is coming off a 1-0 win over Cork on Tuesday. These two teams are evenly matched up. Galway is 3-2-4 (W-L-D) on the road and 8th in there league and St. Pat is 3-2-4 (W-L-D) on the road. So from the way it looks it will be a tight one and in all tight soccer games I always take the draw option.
Sm's reason for the props: Both teams are decent with both there respectable home and away soccer records. Same identical records should be good.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles-MLB
Well this one should be high scoring I will say that. The thing is you look at both pitchers an naturally think that since Brett Cecil has gotten two wins he is better. Not the case these are two high ERA pitchers. Jason Berken has a 6.25 ERA and Cecil a 6.23 ERA. So no real difference except that Cecil gets run support and Berken doesn't. With the Jays coming off a slightly demoralizing loss. Even though it was only by one they had ample oppurtunity to take David Price out early and often and the rookie left hander look like Roger Clemens in his prime. There bats have not been nearly as hot. But on the other hand the Orioles have a very underrated hitting line-up. Starting with Markakis and Huff and Roberts and Scott the list goes on. I think the O's win just because of timely hitting and home field advantage.
Accuscore:
O's-57%
Jays-43%
Sheridans Odds: Toronto 11:10
Vegas Odds:
Jays:-115
O's:-105
Pick slot: Would not take this one with more than a 2-4 gamer.
SM's reason for prop: Everybody thinks the O's really suck which is not the case, and are playing better than the Jays at the moment.
Cincinatti Reds vs. New York Mets-MLB
I never pick a game on SFTC involving the Mets. They are almost as bad as the Cubs at choking or somehow coming back to win. But I will give insight. The Mets put Fernando Nieve on the mound tonight and sport a decent home stand as of late. Nieve has lost his last 2 starts (because of run support). Bronson Arroyo is having a struggling year, and he is coming off of a 5 inning 5 earned runs game against the Cardinals. Reds can put runs on the board but not as much lately. Nieve's ERA I think is in fine tune and I like the Mets.
Accurscore:
Reds:45%
Mets:55%
Sheridans Odds: NYM 13:10
Vegas Odds:
NYM: +110
CIN: -120
Pick slot: No more than a 1-3 gamer.
SM's reason for prop: Because as well as us know that the Mets suck on SFTC. They can't hardly do anything right and he is hoping that people pick the Reds on this one and hoping for a rarity that the Mets win on SFTC.
San Antonio Silver Stars vs. Minnesota Lynx-WNBA
Well the home team has won a majority of games, but not this one. Minnesota is coming off a demoralizing loss to the Sacremento Monarchs whom are one of the worst teams in the league. They exposed the inside as well as what the Silver Stars will do. Without their leading scorer Seimone Augustus they are really exposed in the middle. With them winning 4 of 6. They seem to be doing just fine without her, until they played the Monarchs.
Sheridans Odds:
Minnesota: -3
SA:+3
Sm's reason for this prop: Records show Minnesota and Seimone Augustus shows a weak defense in the middle. SA takes it.
Brad Keselkowski vs. Joey Lagono- Who will have the better finish-NASCAR
Well most would say that I am crazy but I am taking Kesellowski. Why you ask? Because even with Lagono and all his good finishes has not raced here at Chicago. Keselkowski finished 3rd last year. So I'll take the experience over the youth young gun.
SM's reason for this prop: Name recognition, Joey Lagono's got it and Keselkowski doesn't.
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky-WNBA
This is a close one. Not nearly as deserving of a 98% as people are giving it to Indiana. The Fever look like they are in control. I still like them to win especially due to the fact that Chicago has lost 3 straight.
Danny Sheridans Odds:
Indiana:-3.5
Chicago:+3.5
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
I like Joba to get the job done in this one. Mainly because Joe Saunders is struggled his last few outings. Including a ERA over 7. Then you look how the Yankees have played decent against the Angels this year. I think the Yanks get the job done.
Accuscore:
NYY:48%
LAA:52%
Sheridans Odds: NYY 13:10
Vegas Odds:
NYY:-135
LAA+115
Pick slot: No more than a 5-7 gamer.
SM's reason for the prop: Joba's inconsistency hurts here, but Saunders has been the one inconsistent lately.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners-MLB
Well the Mariners are a new inductee into the "teams not to pick on SFTC". They always screw your streak up. With that said. I like the Rangers. Feldman is 7-2 with a 3.91 ERA (about average). His counterpart is Brandon Morrow who is 0-3 with a 5.05 ERA. Although it may look like a clear advantage to the Rangers in pitching both guys have done really good as of late. Hitting is the key problem I can see and the hitting really favors the bat savvy Rangers, Seattle not so much.
Accurscore:
TEX:51%
SEA:49%
Sheridans Odds: Texas 6:5
Vegas Odds:
TEX:-128
SEA:+108
Pick slot: Wouldn't risk a losing streak on this one (LOL). No more than a meager winning streak.
SM's reason for prop: The Rangers are considerably better but look as though SEA may get the upset.
God Bless and Happy Streaking.
Mark Calcavecchia vs. Woody Austin/tie- Golf-Lower front nine prop.
Although Calcavecchia had a better first round, I think that Austin and him tie second. Calcavecchia has been known to get off to hot starts and die down. Whereas Austin has started slower and gained momentum throughout tournaments.
SM's reason for this prop: Calcavecchia looked better yesterday and seemed to play better, but he has been known to fade and Austin has been known to comeback and play better.
Lorena Ochoa vs. Paula Creamer-LPGA-Lower 2nd Round.
Although I think that Ochoa wins this the thing that scares me is that she is not done very good on the back nine at this tournament. Whereas Paula Creamer has. I still thing Ochoa is better and wins this. But beware of the back nine where she struggled yesterday. I really don't even see this being a tie.
Sm's reason for the prop: I can only see that Ochoa struggled on the back nine and expects Paula Creamer to take advantage of it. After all she did double bogey yesterday and without that and a few more pars she would have been tied with her. Just don't see it happening.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs-MLB
Although reports have Chris Carpenter and Brad Thompson starting I think that Carpenter starts from all signs he is but that is just some food for thought. I mean if Thompson does start I still don't see Rich Harden being over powerful anyways. I maybe inclined to take this one if Carpenter pitches but probably will not with the Cubs reputation on SFTC. I most likely will take Ochoa.
Accuscore:
Cards:63%
Cubs:37%
Sheridans Odds: Cards 13:10
Vegas Odds:
Cards: -136
Cubs:+116
Pick slot: I would risk between a 7-10 on this. Not much more because this is a tight knit rivalry and in most instances ought to be left alone. I personally wount take it because its a game involving the Cubs. :)
Sm's reason for the prop: Cubs/Cards always a great rivalry. The Cards lead the season series and it should be a close one.
Galway United vs. St. Patricks-Soccer
Well the St. Patricks team is coming off a 1-0 win over Cork on Tuesday. These two teams are evenly matched up. Galway is 3-2-4 (W-L-D) on the road and 8th in there league and St. Pat is 3-2-4 (W-L-D) on the road. So from the way it looks it will be a tight one and in all tight soccer games I always take the draw option.
Sm's reason for the props: Both teams are decent with both there respectable home and away soccer records. Same identical records should be good.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles-MLB
Well this one should be high scoring I will say that. The thing is you look at both pitchers an naturally think that since Brett Cecil has gotten two wins he is better. Not the case these are two high ERA pitchers. Jason Berken has a 6.25 ERA and Cecil a 6.23 ERA. So no real difference except that Cecil gets run support and Berken doesn't. With the Jays coming off a slightly demoralizing loss. Even though it was only by one they had ample oppurtunity to take David Price out early and often and the rookie left hander look like Roger Clemens in his prime. There bats have not been nearly as hot. But on the other hand the Orioles have a very underrated hitting line-up. Starting with Markakis and Huff and Roberts and Scott the list goes on. I think the O's win just because of timely hitting and home field advantage.
Accuscore:
O's-57%
Jays-43%
Sheridans Odds: Toronto 11:10
Vegas Odds:
Jays:-115
O's:-105
Pick slot: Would not take this one with more than a 2-4 gamer.
SM's reason for prop: Everybody thinks the O's really suck which is not the case, and are playing better than the Jays at the moment.
Cincinatti Reds vs. New York Mets-MLB
I never pick a game on SFTC involving the Mets. They are almost as bad as the Cubs at choking or somehow coming back to win. But I will give insight. The Mets put Fernando Nieve on the mound tonight and sport a decent home stand as of late. Nieve has lost his last 2 starts (because of run support). Bronson Arroyo is having a struggling year, and he is coming off of a 5 inning 5 earned runs game against the Cardinals. Reds can put runs on the board but not as much lately. Nieve's ERA I think is in fine tune and I like the Mets.
Accurscore:
Reds:45%
Mets:55%
Sheridans Odds: NYM 13:10
Vegas Odds:
NYM: +110
CIN: -120
Pick slot: No more than a 1-3 gamer.
SM's reason for prop: Because as well as us know that the Mets suck on SFTC. They can't hardly do anything right and he is hoping that people pick the Reds on this one and hoping for a rarity that the Mets win on SFTC.
San Antonio Silver Stars vs. Minnesota Lynx-WNBA
Well the home team has won a majority of games, but not this one. Minnesota is coming off a demoralizing loss to the Sacremento Monarchs whom are one of the worst teams in the league. They exposed the inside as well as what the Silver Stars will do. Without their leading scorer Seimone Augustus they are really exposed in the middle. With them winning 4 of 6. They seem to be doing just fine without her, until they played the Monarchs.
Sheridans Odds:
Minnesota: -3
SA:+3
Sm's reason for this prop: Records show Minnesota and Seimone Augustus shows a weak defense in the middle. SA takes it.
Brad Keselkowski vs. Joey Lagono- Who will have the better finish-NASCAR
Well most would say that I am crazy but I am taking Kesellowski. Why you ask? Because even with Lagono and all his good finishes has not raced here at Chicago. Keselkowski finished 3rd last year. So I'll take the experience over the youth young gun.
SM's reason for this prop: Name recognition, Joey Lagono's got it and Keselkowski doesn't.
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky-WNBA
This is a close one. Not nearly as deserving of a 98% as people are giving it to Indiana. The Fever look like they are in control. I still like them to win especially due to the fact that Chicago has lost 3 straight.
Danny Sheridans Odds:
Indiana:-3.5
Chicago:+3.5
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
I like Joba to get the job done in this one. Mainly because Joe Saunders is struggled his last few outings. Including a ERA over 7. Then you look how the Yankees have played decent against the Angels this year. I think the Yanks get the job done.
Accuscore:
NYY:48%
LAA:52%
Sheridans Odds: NYY 13:10
Vegas Odds:
NYY:-135
LAA+115
Pick slot: No more than a 5-7 gamer.
SM's reason for the prop: Joba's inconsistency hurts here, but Saunders has been the one inconsistent lately.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners-MLB
Well the Mariners are a new inductee into the "teams not to pick on SFTC". They always screw your streak up. With that said. I like the Rangers. Feldman is 7-2 with a 3.91 ERA (about average). His counterpart is Brandon Morrow who is 0-3 with a 5.05 ERA. Although it may look like a clear advantage to the Rangers in pitching both guys have done really good as of late. Hitting is the key problem I can see and the hitting really favors the bat savvy Rangers, Seattle not so much.
Accurscore:
TEX:51%
SEA:49%
Sheridans Odds: Texas 6:5
Vegas Odds:
TEX:-128
SEA:+108
Pick slot: Wouldn't risk a losing streak on this one (LOL). No more than a meager winning streak.
SM's reason for prop: The Rangers are considerably better but look as though SEA may get the upset.
God Bless and Happy Streaking.
Thursday, July 9, 2009
Streaking For The Cash: July 8th
Hello streakers, well I don't know if any of you have seen zombidwee's blogpost www.bleaklookatcash.blogspot.com we will have competition to see who makes the most correct picks in a week.
Well here we go.
Charley Hoffman vs. Daniel Chopra/tie- Who will have the lower front nine score.
Well I believe that Daniel Chopra has the ability to atleast tie with Hoffman. Throw the fact out that Hoffman has been rusty since his last two tournaments and Chopra has been good to start the tournaments and then just faded away. Hoffman missed the cut last year and Chopra didn't even play in this tournament last year but I still think that Chopra pulls it out.
Sm's reason for the prop: This looks on paper to be going Charley Hoffmans way, but he recognizes that Chopra is overlooked and has started tournaments out better than Hoffman lately.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays-MLB
Well the present (Roy Halladay), and the future (David Price) go head to head. Halladays last outing against the Rays was less than profilic far by his standards. Joe Maddon said the other day that he was worried about the fastball command of Price. He also his last outing only went 1 1/3 innings against the Rangers hot bats. Do I think that the Jays bats are as good? No! But I think that Price probably gets shook up. I can't take Price over Halladay. I mean you are talking a rook who is just as apt to allow a homer and get all shook up and Halladay who can allow a homer and stay composed. I'll take the Jays to avoid the sweep.
Vegas Odds:
Toronto:-145
Tampa: +125
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins-MLB
Francisco Liriano has shown some good outings this season. But Alfredo Aceves has to. He is 5-1 with a 2.03 ERA and a no run outing against the Jays. But his innings pitched have been few. Pitching only 4 innings against the Jays and 43 pitches. The thing that I don't like about that is even with the Yankees all bullpens give up runs. Liriano I fully expect to get 7 innings. I think that you ought to try and get every ounce of pitching you can out of your pitchers. Bullpens are known to give up runs. So I'll take the underdog Twins in this one.
Vegas Odds: I can't find any.
SM's reason for the prop: The Yankees have owned the Twins but they have not played them with Aceves on the mound. The SM thinks upset.
Kenny Perry:
Will he shoot the four par 3's at 11 strokes or fewer
Or will he shoot the four par 3's at 12 strokes or more
I will go 12 strokes or more. He on average has hit them at about 12 and from what I have heard these 4 par 3's aren't exactly easy. 16 is where he will have the best chance to birdie the rest I either see him getting par or maybe even one bogey.
Sm's reason for the prop: Common Golf Knowledge would tell you that well 4 par 3's he should par on three of them and birdie on the rest.
Randers FC vs. Lindfield/draw-Soccer
Well in most soccer games I lean towards the draw but not this one. Linders is one of the worst UEFA teams. Randers should handle them easy seeing as how they just beat them last week like 4-0.
Vegas OddS:
Randers FC:-185
Linfield win:+285
Draw:+250
Sm's reason for the prop: To try and entice you with that draw. They are at home also.
Cincinatti Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies-
How many hits+runs+errors- 26 or fewer, or 27 or more?
I will go with 27 or more. With both Moyer and the ever inconsistent Micah Owings. The over under is also set at 10 so even Vegas sees a high scoring game.
SM's reason for the prop: Last time there was one of these he got alot of people. I think that the people have learned in the error of there ways.
Kansas City vs. Boston- How many runs will the Sox win by?
2 or fewer
3 or more
I am not riding the bandwagon that KC wins. I live in Missouri and they even to Missourians suck. I say the Soxs still win like 6-2, even with Pedroia out. Penny is not a real bad pitcher, but he does have a high ERA, but the Royals might just be what the doctor ordered. Hochevar is not much worse but he does have those days, and he is pitching against the Red Sox.
Sm's reason for this prop: He thinks that the royals are going to win. But I just think that the Sox have the Royals number in these mathcups.
Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros-MLB
Well here is another trap pick. The Nationals are known to show up and play when they are on SFTC. They just upset the Braves and they have John Lannan who is 6-5 with a 3.45 ERA. Going up against Russ Ortiz who is 3-4 with a 4.11 ERA. The Nationals take it.
Vegas Odds:
Washington: +105
Houston: -125
Sm's reason for the prop: He looks at the general public at they think well the Nationals suck. Well they for the most part do, but not on SFTC. With the 90% curse on the line too. TRAP!!!
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies-MLB
I am going with the ATL Tommy Hanson is not the problem, the Braves bullpen has been the problem. But the Rockies bats are not to hot I think that Atlanta can take advantage of this matchup. The only thing that worries me is that bullpen who gave the other game that Hanson pitched away to the Nationals on SFTC.
Vegas Odds:
Atlanta: +110
Colorado:-130
Sm's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers anything can happen which is not shown in the odds.
Nicole Powell vs. Sue Bird-Who will score more points?
I will say Sue Bird. Besides being at home she also plays more minutes than Powell and the Storm are much better than the Monarchs. The only thing that leads to Nicole Powell is that she averages more points per game. This will be close but with Sue Bird averaging 6 more minutes a game than Nicole Powell, Bird wins.
Sm's reason for prop: Sue Bird is more well known and plays more minutes, Powell is more efficient in the time she has. He thinks Powell, I think Bird.
Florida Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondback-MLB
Wow, I don't see anything that makes me want to take the D-Backs. The pitcher Petit is god awful with a 0-3 8.46 ERA. I have seen guys with a 0-1 record that high of ERA's but he must suck it up in his outings. I think that Miller throws his average 3 or 4 ERs but Petit probably is out of there by 3rd or 4th inning. I really think Florida wins.
Vegas Odds:
Florida:-128
Arizona:+108
Sm's reason for this prop: He is expecting a high scoring game from both. Coming down to the end.
Josh Geer vs. Tim Lincecum-Which pitcher will have the higher total.
Josh Geer hits allowed
Tim Lincecum strikeout
I'll go Lincecum, he probably will pitch the whole game, Geer not so much. I worry that Geer gets shelled. But if so he will be out early and Timmy will get his K's. I think Lincecum wins this like 13-8. Geer pitches about 5 innings and Lincecum pitches the whole game.
SM's reason for the prop: He is expecting Geer to get shelled. Lincecum will win this prop though.
God Bless all and the competition has begun Zombidwee. Good Luck. And Happy Streaking!!!
Well here we go.
Charley Hoffman vs. Daniel Chopra/tie- Who will have the lower front nine score.
Well I believe that Daniel Chopra has the ability to atleast tie with Hoffman. Throw the fact out that Hoffman has been rusty since his last two tournaments and Chopra has been good to start the tournaments and then just faded away. Hoffman missed the cut last year and Chopra didn't even play in this tournament last year but I still think that Chopra pulls it out.
Sm's reason for the prop: This looks on paper to be going Charley Hoffmans way, but he recognizes that Chopra is overlooked and has started tournaments out better than Hoffman lately.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays-MLB
Well the present (Roy Halladay), and the future (David Price) go head to head. Halladays last outing against the Rays was less than profilic far by his standards. Joe Maddon said the other day that he was worried about the fastball command of Price. He also his last outing only went 1 1/3 innings against the Rangers hot bats. Do I think that the Jays bats are as good? No! But I think that Price probably gets shook up. I can't take Price over Halladay. I mean you are talking a rook who is just as apt to allow a homer and get all shook up and Halladay who can allow a homer and stay composed. I'll take the Jays to avoid the sweep.
Vegas Odds:
Toronto:-145
Tampa: +125
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins-MLB
Francisco Liriano has shown some good outings this season. But Alfredo Aceves has to. He is 5-1 with a 2.03 ERA and a no run outing against the Jays. But his innings pitched have been few. Pitching only 4 innings against the Jays and 43 pitches. The thing that I don't like about that is even with the Yankees all bullpens give up runs. Liriano I fully expect to get 7 innings. I think that you ought to try and get every ounce of pitching you can out of your pitchers. Bullpens are known to give up runs. So I'll take the underdog Twins in this one.
Vegas Odds: I can't find any.
SM's reason for the prop: The Yankees have owned the Twins but they have not played them with Aceves on the mound. The SM thinks upset.
Kenny Perry:
Will he shoot the four par 3's at 11 strokes or fewer
Or will he shoot the four par 3's at 12 strokes or more
I will go 12 strokes or more. He on average has hit them at about 12 and from what I have heard these 4 par 3's aren't exactly easy. 16 is where he will have the best chance to birdie the rest I either see him getting par or maybe even one bogey.
Sm's reason for the prop: Common Golf Knowledge would tell you that well 4 par 3's he should par on three of them and birdie on the rest.
Randers FC vs. Lindfield/draw-Soccer
Well in most soccer games I lean towards the draw but not this one. Linders is one of the worst UEFA teams. Randers should handle them easy seeing as how they just beat them last week like 4-0.
Vegas OddS:
Randers FC:-185
Linfield win:+285
Draw:+250
Sm's reason for the prop: To try and entice you with that draw. They are at home also.
Cincinatti Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies-
How many hits+runs+errors- 26 or fewer, or 27 or more?
I will go with 27 or more. With both Moyer and the ever inconsistent Micah Owings. The over under is also set at 10 so even Vegas sees a high scoring game.
SM's reason for the prop: Last time there was one of these he got alot of people. I think that the people have learned in the error of there ways.
Kansas City vs. Boston- How many runs will the Sox win by?
2 or fewer
3 or more
I am not riding the bandwagon that KC wins. I live in Missouri and they even to Missourians suck. I say the Soxs still win like 6-2, even with Pedroia out. Penny is not a real bad pitcher, but he does have a high ERA, but the Royals might just be what the doctor ordered. Hochevar is not much worse but he does have those days, and he is pitching against the Red Sox.
Sm's reason for this prop: He thinks that the royals are going to win. But I just think that the Sox have the Royals number in these mathcups.
Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros-MLB
Well here is another trap pick. The Nationals are known to show up and play when they are on SFTC. They just upset the Braves and they have John Lannan who is 6-5 with a 3.45 ERA. Going up against Russ Ortiz who is 3-4 with a 4.11 ERA. The Nationals take it.
Vegas Odds:
Washington: +105
Houston: -125
Sm's reason for the prop: He looks at the general public at they think well the Nationals suck. Well they for the most part do, but not on SFTC. With the 90% curse on the line too. TRAP!!!
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies-MLB
I am going with the ATL Tommy Hanson is not the problem, the Braves bullpen has been the problem. But the Rockies bats are not to hot I think that Atlanta can take advantage of this matchup. The only thing that worries me is that bullpen who gave the other game that Hanson pitched away to the Nationals on SFTC.
Vegas Odds:
Atlanta: +110
Colorado:-130
Sm's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers anything can happen which is not shown in the odds.
Nicole Powell vs. Sue Bird-Who will score more points?
I will say Sue Bird. Besides being at home she also plays more minutes than Powell and the Storm are much better than the Monarchs. The only thing that leads to Nicole Powell is that she averages more points per game. This will be close but with Sue Bird averaging 6 more minutes a game than Nicole Powell, Bird wins.
Sm's reason for prop: Sue Bird is more well known and plays more minutes, Powell is more efficient in the time she has. He thinks Powell, I think Bird.
Florida Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondback-MLB
Wow, I don't see anything that makes me want to take the D-Backs. The pitcher Petit is god awful with a 0-3 8.46 ERA. I have seen guys with a 0-1 record that high of ERA's but he must suck it up in his outings. I think that Miller throws his average 3 or 4 ERs but Petit probably is out of there by 3rd or 4th inning. I really think Florida wins.
Vegas Odds:
Florida:-128
Arizona:+108
Sm's reason for this prop: He is expecting a high scoring game from both. Coming down to the end.
Josh Geer vs. Tim Lincecum-Which pitcher will have the higher total.
Josh Geer hits allowed
Tim Lincecum strikeout
I'll go Lincecum, he probably will pitch the whole game, Geer not so much. I worry that Geer gets shelled. But if so he will be out early and Timmy will get his K's. I think Lincecum wins this like 13-8. Geer pitches about 5 innings and Lincecum pitches the whole game.
SM's reason for the prop: He is expecting Geer to get shelled. Lincecum will win this prop though.
God Bless all and the competition has begun Zombidwee. Good Luck. And Happy Streaking!!!
Sunday, July 5, 2009
SFTC Monday Edition-July 6th
Hello fellow streakers. I hope all had a great Independence Day and I like pappaschu on the Choker Nation comment board did thank all troops who have served or are actively serving. I to would like to give my condolences to the McNair family for all of their grief. Its really too bad that Steve's legacy will from now on be tarnished due to his apparent cheating. I deeply sympathize for his wife and sons. God Bless!!!
Well today (or tomorrow at this time) I will give you my picks. Since the SM uncharacteristically only put 7 which reminds me of old times during the second segment will give you the break down on all matchups.
Kalmar FF/draw vs. Malmo FF-Soccer
Well after reviewing this I will take Kalmar for the draw. Malmo is tenth in their league at home at 2-4-0 (W-D-L). Whereas Kalmar is 1-3-2 (W-D-L) on the road. Although Vegas has the Malmo team a slight favorite, I will say draw. Today with BK Hacken and Gelfe the odds just barely favored Gelfe whom only had the win option. Well sure enough it was a draw. So my new strategy for close vegas odds are to go with the Draw. I like a 1-1 since this game is pretty heavily favored to stay under 2.5 goals.
Vegas Odds:
Kalmar FF: +230
Malmo FF: +110
Draw: +230
Sm's reason for prop: the Malmo team has a slight advantage in vegas and SM thinks they win. Most of these close Vegas games go draw I don't think that it changes here
Blue Jays vs. Yankees- MLB: How many home runs will be hit?
Well looking at the Yankees I really don't think that they will get as many oppurtunities as people think but I think it will go more that 4. For a few reasons for one Andy Pettite is know for letting people hit fly balls, and in Yankees Stadium a fly ball is a home run as simple as that. And the Jays I think get 2-3 homers and I will say that the Yanks going against the less of the two flyball pitchers who relies on groundballs will get 1-2. I'll go out on a limb and say 5 homers hit.
SM's reason for prop: 4 homers seem like alot in one game, but not in Yankee Stadium he wants people to bite on 3 or less and then burn them.
Atlanta vs. Chicago-MLB
Well SFTC has not been nice to good pitchers lately. Case in point Felix Hernandez, Roy Halladay. Yeah all guys who on paper look like they will have good games. Wells and Jurrjens don't neccesarily have the best records but they do have really good ERA's. I don't know my heart says Jurrjens and the Braves though. They traditionally are good on SFTC and although they lost to the Nationals on there the other day they have shown good potential and will be even better with Jurrjens on the mound.
Vegas Odds:
Atlanta:+105
Chicago:-125
SM's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers and two good offenses should be a barn-burner ( Ha Ha if you get it).
Cincinatti vs. Philadelphia-MLB
Well Cincy's O has been effective at times this year but pitching has been less impressive. Philly with Cole Hamels on the mound will be able to slow down that department. Even though he has struggled before I don't see it happening this time. Johnny Cueto has been good, but I don't know with him. I have never seen him pitch so its kinda hard to see his tendencys. I like the idea of the Phils pulling it out but not with a lot of comfort. High %'s have not done real good as of late and Cincy is alot better than given credit for.
Vegas Odds:
Cincy: +135
Philly: -155
SM's reason for the prop: He likes Cueto and the Reds in this one. Reds are typically good on SFTC but in the case of Philly the sun shines on the dogs behind every once in a while.
Pittsburgh vs. Houston- MLB
I will take the Pirates. They are going up against Mike Hampton whom I always have found very streaky, which I believe is the reason that he has played with so many teams throughout his career. Vasquez has a 1-1 3.00 ERA which in my book is good enough to get the W in this matchup. And if you are supersticious on SFTC the Pirates can't lose on there they are like 5-0.
Vegas Odds:
Pitt:+140
Hou: -160
SM's reason for the prop: He likes the idea of the Pirates to keep their SFTC reputation up. They also have a good young pitcher on their team.
San Diego vs. Arizona-MLB
I will take Arizona Jon Garland seems to be pitching pretty good and this Silva guy has a 8.8 ERA which would scare me away definitely. There's no preview or much out on this game but I like the D-Backs.
Vegas Odds:
SD:+150
Ari:-170
SM's reason for the prop: He thinks upset. D-Backs have a reputation as being choke artists on SFTC, nowhere near the choke artist that the Cubs are in any league may I remind you.
Texas vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
Texas has been known to be streak busters. What I mean is they frequent SFTC and bust peoples streaks. Kevin Millwood is on the mound with a 2.8 ERA and I'll take him over Jered Weaver with a 3.10 ERA. With that said in my opinion Texas has a better hitting team and that is why they win.
Vegas Odds:
Tex:+125
LAA:-145
SM's reason for prop: Texas and their streak busting mentality. I think that they upset the Angels.
Thanks for viewing and please leave anything that you would like me to do different with the blog as either a message here or in the SFTC group: Choker Nation. http://streak.espn.go.com/group?groupID=153185&selGrp=153185
God Bless your week and familyA!!!
Well today (or tomorrow at this time) I will give you my picks. Since the SM uncharacteristically only put 7 which reminds me of old times during the second segment will give you the break down on all matchups.
Kalmar FF/draw vs. Malmo FF-Soccer
Well after reviewing this I will take Kalmar for the draw. Malmo is tenth in their league at home at 2-4-0 (W-D-L). Whereas Kalmar is 1-3-2 (W-D-L) on the road. Although Vegas has the Malmo team a slight favorite, I will say draw. Today with BK Hacken and Gelfe the odds just barely favored Gelfe whom only had the win option. Well sure enough it was a draw. So my new strategy for close vegas odds are to go with the Draw. I like a 1-1 since this game is pretty heavily favored to stay under 2.5 goals.
Vegas Odds:
Kalmar FF: +230
Malmo FF: +110
Draw: +230
Sm's reason for prop: the Malmo team has a slight advantage in vegas and SM thinks they win. Most of these close Vegas games go draw I don't think that it changes here
Blue Jays vs. Yankees- MLB: How many home runs will be hit?
Well looking at the Yankees I really don't think that they will get as many oppurtunities as people think but I think it will go more that 4. For a few reasons for one Andy Pettite is know for letting people hit fly balls, and in Yankees Stadium a fly ball is a home run as simple as that. And the Jays I think get 2-3 homers and I will say that the Yanks going against the less of the two flyball pitchers who relies on groundballs will get 1-2. I'll go out on a limb and say 5 homers hit.
SM's reason for prop: 4 homers seem like alot in one game, but not in Yankee Stadium he wants people to bite on 3 or less and then burn them.
Atlanta vs. Chicago-MLB
Well SFTC has not been nice to good pitchers lately. Case in point Felix Hernandez, Roy Halladay. Yeah all guys who on paper look like they will have good games. Wells and Jurrjens don't neccesarily have the best records but they do have really good ERA's. I don't know my heart says Jurrjens and the Braves though. They traditionally are good on SFTC and although they lost to the Nationals on there the other day they have shown good potential and will be even better with Jurrjens on the mound.
Vegas Odds:
Atlanta:+105
Chicago:-125
SM's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers and two good offenses should be a barn-burner ( Ha Ha if you get it).
Cincinatti vs. Philadelphia-MLB
Well Cincy's O has been effective at times this year but pitching has been less impressive. Philly with Cole Hamels on the mound will be able to slow down that department. Even though he has struggled before I don't see it happening this time. Johnny Cueto has been good, but I don't know with him. I have never seen him pitch so its kinda hard to see his tendencys. I like the idea of the Phils pulling it out but not with a lot of comfort. High %'s have not done real good as of late and Cincy is alot better than given credit for.
Vegas Odds:
Cincy: +135
Philly: -155
SM's reason for the prop: He likes Cueto and the Reds in this one. Reds are typically good on SFTC but in the case of Philly the sun shines on the dogs behind every once in a while.
Pittsburgh vs. Houston- MLB
I will take the Pirates. They are going up against Mike Hampton whom I always have found very streaky, which I believe is the reason that he has played with so many teams throughout his career. Vasquez has a 1-1 3.00 ERA which in my book is good enough to get the W in this matchup. And if you are supersticious on SFTC the Pirates can't lose on there they are like 5-0.
Vegas Odds:
Pitt:+140
Hou: -160
SM's reason for the prop: He likes the idea of the Pirates to keep their SFTC reputation up. They also have a good young pitcher on their team.
San Diego vs. Arizona-MLB
I will take Arizona Jon Garland seems to be pitching pretty good and this Silva guy has a 8.8 ERA which would scare me away definitely. There's no preview or much out on this game but I like the D-Backs.
Vegas Odds:
SD:+150
Ari:-170
SM's reason for the prop: He thinks upset. D-Backs have a reputation as being choke artists on SFTC, nowhere near the choke artist that the Cubs are in any league may I remind you.
Texas vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
Texas has been known to be streak busters. What I mean is they frequent SFTC and bust peoples streaks. Kevin Millwood is on the mound with a 2.8 ERA and I'll take him over Jered Weaver with a 3.10 ERA. With that said in my opinion Texas has a better hitting team and that is why they win.
Vegas Odds:
Tex:+125
LAA:-145
SM's reason for prop: Texas and their streak busting mentality. I think that they upset the Angels.
Thanks for viewing and please leave anything that you would like me to do different with the blog as either a message here or in the SFTC group: Choker Nation. http://streak.espn.go.com/group?groupID=153185&selGrp=153185
God Bless your week and familyA!!!
Friday, July 3, 2009
Streak for the Cash: July 3rd
Hello fellow streakers. I am happy to say that yesterday I only mislead you guys on 1 pick the WNBA pick outside of that I lead all who followed to victory. :)
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Indians-MLB
I hate to say it but Cleveland looks pretty good in this matchup. I am thinking of putting my 7 gamer on it. The reason is because Accurscore and Vegas have a fair amount of faith in them. I truly just don't like the idea of two rookies battling it out. Trevor Cahill whom is 5-6 4.23 ERA and David Bell whom is 3-3 6.26 ERA. Both are coming off rough outings and Cahill has shown the ability to come back from rough outings. I really think though that with both teams struggling the only underlying fact that I think separates the two is the crowd. I think that the rookie (Cahill) gets flustered and blows it.
Vegas Odds:
Oakland:+118
Cleveland:-128
SM's reason for the prop: This is a well evenly matched game that there are no advantages and could go either way.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox-MLB
This looks to me like an old fashion trap. Seattle in my opinion and have said this since the beginning of the season is one of the most streaky teams in the majors. They can get hot and win alot at one time and they can go weeks without winning a game. With all that said Felix Hernandez is the one pitcher that they can count on. Wakefield is the old dark horse on the Red Sox whom unrecognizably has gotten 10 wins. Hernandez though has only allowed two earned runs in 15 innings of work. With that I still think that Terry Francona gets enough out of his boys to muster out the win. But I am not to comfortable with the thought of putting my streak of 7 on the Sox.
Vegas Odds:
Seattle:+109
Boston:-119
SM's reason for the prop: He is expecting Hernandez to win this for the M's but with no run support against a good Tim Wakefield I don't think it will happen.
Washington Mystic vs. Atlanta Dream-WNBA
Yeah I know that last night taking the away team burnt me, but I am doing it again. These two teams have split the season series each team winning on their home floor. But with Atlanta having the worst perimeter defense in the league and the Mystic shooting a really high percentage as a team I will take them for the W.
Vegas Odds:
Washington:+4
Atlanta:-4
SM's reason for prop: He know's the reputation that the WNBA has on SFTC and he is thinking that Washington steals this one like I do.
Chicago Sky vs. San Antonio Silver Stars-WNBA
Unlike the other one I am taking the home team here. The Sky have been to inconsistent on the road and have also been known to choke on the road . I also think that Becky Hammons (Silver Stars) will help show up big tonight like she did last year. The Silver Stars are also 3-0 at home. Food for thought.
Vegas Odds:
Chicago: +6
San Antonio:-6
SM's reason for this prop: Records are deceiving in this case. He wants you to look at records and give the advantage to the Sky.
Kyle Busch vs. Carl Edwards- NASCAR
Well after looking at I give the advantage to Busch. He over the past 4 weeks has been in the top 3 every week. Carl Busch has only been there once. Last year at this race Carl took 11th and Busch 2nd. I don't think that this moment that I will risk a 7 gamer on this but Busch looks pretty favorable. But in anything can happen.
SM's reason for this prop: Both these guys are 1 and 2 in points and both are bound to finish in the top 10 and should be close.
San Jose vs. Real Salt Lake-MLS
I don't really know much about these two teams but I don know enough about them to know that I like the draw with this one. San Jose is 3-8-3 (W-D-L) while Real Salt Lake is 5-6-4. These two look evenly matched for the most part.
Vegas Odds:
San Jose: +1
Real Salt Lake:-1
SM's reason for the prop: He and I believe that San Jose stands and outside chance of a draw. RSL is heavily favored in soccer terms. I like the draw though.
Which team will score more runs?
Baltimore Orioles (vs. LA Angels)
LA Dodgers (vs. San Diego Padres)
This is probably the most evenly matched of all. Ervin Santana (Angels pitcher) has been absolutely awful this season with a ERA of over 7. Whereas Chad Gaudin is been streaky. Vegas to my knowledge has LA slightly favored as far as runs scored. Orioles are at 4.5 with the over at -110 and the under at -120. The LA Dodgers though are at -115 at both the over/under. Really close call but I will give the lines time to move in one direction or another. But as of Right now I will go with the Dodgers. Hopefully Manny's return will boost the Dodgers, but I still am nit to comfortable. I will check the lines at about 8:30 cst. If they have moved in any direction I will consider changing my pick.
Vegas Odds:
LAD: Over 4:-115: Under 4:-115
BAL: Over 4.5:-110: Under 4.5: -120
SM's reason for prop: To very close vegas odds. Two below average pitchers to go against and two decent offenses.
Thank you for reading todays blog. I have not decided if I am going to make a blog for tomorrow or not. God Bless and Happy Streaking, and Happy 4th of July. :)
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Indians-MLB
I hate to say it but Cleveland looks pretty good in this matchup. I am thinking of putting my 7 gamer on it. The reason is because Accurscore and Vegas have a fair amount of faith in them. I truly just don't like the idea of two rookies battling it out. Trevor Cahill whom is 5-6 4.23 ERA and David Bell whom is 3-3 6.26 ERA. Both are coming off rough outings and Cahill has shown the ability to come back from rough outings. I really think though that with both teams struggling the only underlying fact that I think separates the two is the crowd. I think that the rookie (Cahill) gets flustered and blows it.
Vegas Odds:
Oakland:+118
Cleveland:-128
SM's reason for the prop: This is a well evenly matched game that there are no advantages and could go either way.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox-MLB
This looks to me like an old fashion trap. Seattle in my opinion and have said this since the beginning of the season is one of the most streaky teams in the majors. They can get hot and win alot at one time and they can go weeks without winning a game. With all that said Felix Hernandez is the one pitcher that they can count on. Wakefield is the old dark horse on the Red Sox whom unrecognizably has gotten 10 wins. Hernandez though has only allowed two earned runs in 15 innings of work. With that I still think that Terry Francona gets enough out of his boys to muster out the win. But I am not to comfortable with the thought of putting my streak of 7 on the Sox.
Vegas Odds:
Seattle:+109
Boston:-119
SM's reason for the prop: He is expecting Hernandez to win this for the M's but with no run support against a good Tim Wakefield I don't think it will happen.
Washington Mystic vs. Atlanta Dream-WNBA
Yeah I know that last night taking the away team burnt me, but I am doing it again. These two teams have split the season series each team winning on their home floor. But with Atlanta having the worst perimeter defense in the league and the Mystic shooting a really high percentage as a team I will take them for the W.
Vegas Odds:
Washington:+4
Atlanta:-4
SM's reason for prop: He know's the reputation that the WNBA has on SFTC and he is thinking that Washington steals this one like I do.
Chicago Sky vs. San Antonio Silver Stars-WNBA
Unlike the other one I am taking the home team here. The Sky have been to inconsistent on the road and have also been known to choke on the road . I also think that Becky Hammons (Silver Stars) will help show up big tonight like she did last year. The Silver Stars are also 3-0 at home. Food for thought.
Vegas Odds:
Chicago: +6
San Antonio:-6
SM's reason for this prop: Records are deceiving in this case. He wants you to look at records and give the advantage to the Sky.
Kyle Busch vs. Carl Edwards- NASCAR
Well after looking at I give the advantage to Busch. He over the past 4 weeks has been in the top 3 every week. Carl Busch has only been there once. Last year at this race Carl took 11th and Busch 2nd. I don't think that this moment that I will risk a 7 gamer on this but Busch looks pretty favorable. But in anything can happen.
SM's reason for this prop: Both these guys are 1 and 2 in points and both are bound to finish in the top 10 and should be close.
San Jose vs. Real Salt Lake-MLS
I don't really know much about these two teams but I don know enough about them to know that I like the draw with this one. San Jose is 3-8-3 (W-D-L) while Real Salt Lake is 5-6-4. These two look evenly matched for the most part.
Vegas Odds:
San Jose: +1
Real Salt Lake:-1
SM's reason for the prop: He and I believe that San Jose stands and outside chance of a draw. RSL is heavily favored in soccer terms. I like the draw though.
Which team will score more runs?
Baltimore Orioles (vs. LA Angels)
LA Dodgers (vs. San Diego Padres)
This is probably the most evenly matched of all. Ervin Santana (Angels pitcher) has been absolutely awful this season with a ERA of over 7. Whereas Chad Gaudin is been streaky. Vegas to my knowledge has LA slightly favored as far as runs scored. Orioles are at 4.5 with the over at -110 and the under at -120. The LA Dodgers though are at -115 at both the over/under. Really close call but I will give the lines time to move in one direction or another. But as of Right now I will go with the Dodgers. Hopefully Manny's return will boost the Dodgers, but I still am nit to comfortable. I will check the lines at about 8:30 cst. If they have moved in any direction I will consider changing my pick.
Vegas Odds:
LAD: Over 4:-115: Under 4:-115
BAL: Over 4.5:-110: Under 4.5: -120
SM's reason for prop: To very close vegas odds. Two below average pitchers to go against and two decent offenses.
Thank you for reading todays blog. I have not decided if I am going to make a blog for tomorrow or not. God Bless and Happy Streaking, and Happy 4th of July. :)
Thursday, July 2, 2009
Streaking This Evening
Well my sucky streaking continued yesterday being correct on only like 2 picks all day. I will just post my evening picks today.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves-MLB
Well well, another Braves/Phillies pick, this is like the 3rd one in this series. JA Happ has a 5-0 3.00 ERA record. Which is impressive on the other hand you have the veteran Javier Vasquez who is 5-7 3.04 ERA. I don't think that the Braves lose this one. Happ I think will get the ND. I just did a little research and it seems as though when he has pitched he has gotten run support, but not all of his games have been starting as he has relieved and he also seems to get "babied". What I mean is that if the going gets tough Happ gets going and Charlie Manuel has no problem as game logs have shown to pull him after 4-5 innings. While that might sound good the thing is that there typically tends to be one reliever in games that can jack a game up. While Javier Vasquez is fairly solid with a 3.04 and decent run support. While he hasn't gotten run support, the Phillies haven't gave their pitchers run support in these games against the Braves. Go I am going to go with the trend of picking the Braves because of veteran experience and the groove they have when playing the Phils.
Vegas Odds:
Philly:+124
ATL: -134
SM's reason for this prop: Quite simple, a good young pitcher and a veteran recognizable pitcher he's predicting an upset, but I am not biting on it.
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals-MLB
Well call me a homer but tonight I will not make the same mistake picking against the Cards like I did last night. Wellemeyer is 2-0 3.00 career ERA, Barry Zito is 0-3 4.86 ERA. So pitching wise we know who will probably being the key word be better. After all Wainwright was supposed to have sucked against the G-Men but came out and in the end out dueled Matt Cain a 9 game winner. As far as hitting Albert Pujols owns Barry Zito with a career 2 hrs. 8 rbi and is 5-9 against him. And if that ain't amazing enough on accuscore he is at an astounding 34.6% to hit at least 1 homer. I have never seen that % that high. I think I may risk my lowly 3 gamer on the Cards. Its either that or the Braves and this looks more open.
Vegas Odds:
SF: +122
STL: -132
SM's reason for the prop: Because these teams are fairly evenly matched, and both pitchers are decent. Like the Cards though.
Detroit Shock vs. New York Liberty-WNBA
Well perhaps the most hated of all sports on the STFC board is WNBA. So unpredictable. Well even so I will give my pick. These teams have a long history of good teams not so much this year though. The teams on SFTC that are at home are something like 9-2. That says to me that the home team will win most of the time. Thats exactly why I will take the....... Shock. You all are like. What? Yeah I Shocked you all. Lets be honest though Rick Mahorn's team has in the past faired well against the Liberty and I expect more of the same. Also don't really be fooled by Vegas either. The Lynx vs. Dream game the other day they had the Dream picked to win. The Dream were at 4-5 and were 4 pt. favorites. While the Lynx were at 6-3 and 4 pt. underdogs. But if you want the vegas odds.
Vegas Odds:
Detroit: +3
NY:-3
Which combo will total more bases.
Ryan Braun & Mike Cameron
Derrek Lee & Alfonso Soriano
Ryan Braun tears up the bases and Mike Cameron is also good himself. Ryan Braun has 165 TB's on the season and Mike Cameron has 113. Alfonso Soriano has 129 and Derrick Lee has 117 TB's. So statistically the Brewers have the advantage in TB's combo. But they lack the pitcher. So it will be close. I will go with DL and AS on this one just because of the sucky pitcher they are going up against that the Brew Crew are putting out there.
SM's reason for this prop: Because with the ability of Braun and Cameron to light up the base path they look like the natural pick. But with the Brewers sucky pitcher he is thinking that DLee and AS are going to win I think the same.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers-MLB
Looking at it it looks like a pitching advantage to the Brewers, but I am not going to buy that. Yeah he is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA, but he just had a 3 ER inning vs. the Giants so there I give advantage Cubs, and also Dempster has had good outings vs. the Brewers. This could be a good pick for the Cubs. But one of my new rules are to never pick the Cubs or Mets.
Vegas Odds:
Chicago:-143
Milwaukee:+133
SM's reason for prop: Because these two will probably have a good game and SM is hoping for McClung to have a good outing.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
Well this is a good matchup of pitchers although the records don't show it this will be a good matchup. I really like Lackey in this one though. Guthrie is decent pitcher and Lackey is better.
I like the Angels.
Who will hit the first homer?
Orioles first or no homer
Angels first hr.
The Angels have more powerful bats so I expect some homers. The Angels are powerful sluggers and are at home.
Good Streaking and God Bless!!!
Sincerely,
The Thoroughbred
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves-MLB
Well well, another Braves/Phillies pick, this is like the 3rd one in this series. JA Happ has a 5-0 3.00 ERA record. Which is impressive on the other hand you have the veteran Javier Vasquez who is 5-7 3.04 ERA. I don't think that the Braves lose this one. Happ I think will get the ND. I just did a little research and it seems as though when he has pitched he has gotten run support, but not all of his games have been starting as he has relieved and he also seems to get "babied". What I mean is that if the going gets tough Happ gets going and Charlie Manuel has no problem as game logs have shown to pull him after 4-5 innings. While that might sound good the thing is that there typically tends to be one reliever in games that can jack a game up. While Javier Vasquez is fairly solid with a 3.04 and decent run support. While he hasn't gotten run support, the Phillies haven't gave their pitchers run support in these games against the Braves. Go I am going to go with the trend of picking the Braves because of veteran experience and the groove they have when playing the Phils.
Vegas Odds:
Philly:+124
ATL: -134
SM's reason for this prop: Quite simple, a good young pitcher and a veteran recognizable pitcher he's predicting an upset, but I am not biting on it.
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals-MLB
Well call me a homer but tonight I will not make the same mistake picking against the Cards like I did last night. Wellemeyer is 2-0 3.00 career ERA, Barry Zito is 0-3 4.86 ERA. So pitching wise we know who will probably being the key word be better. After all Wainwright was supposed to have sucked against the G-Men but came out and in the end out dueled Matt Cain a 9 game winner. As far as hitting Albert Pujols owns Barry Zito with a career 2 hrs. 8 rbi and is 5-9 against him. And if that ain't amazing enough on accuscore he is at an astounding 34.6% to hit at least 1 homer. I have never seen that % that high. I think I may risk my lowly 3 gamer on the Cards. Its either that or the Braves and this looks more open.
Vegas Odds:
SF: +122
STL: -132
SM's reason for the prop: Because these teams are fairly evenly matched, and both pitchers are decent. Like the Cards though.
Detroit Shock vs. New York Liberty-WNBA
Well perhaps the most hated of all sports on the STFC board is WNBA. So unpredictable. Well even so I will give my pick. These teams have a long history of good teams not so much this year though. The teams on SFTC that are at home are something like 9-2. That says to me that the home team will win most of the time. Thats exactly why I will take the....... Shock. You all are like. What? Yeah I Shocked you all. Lets be honest though Rick Mahorn's team has in the past faired well against the Liberty and I expect more of the same. Also don't really be fooled by Vegas either. The Lynx vs. Dream game the other day they had the Dream picked to win. The Dream were at 4-5 and were 4 pt. favorites. While the Lynx were at 6-3 and 4 pt. underdogs. But if you want the vegas odds.
Vegas Odds:
Detroit: +3
NY:-3
Which combo will total more bases.
Ryan Braun & Mike Cameron
Derrek Lee & Alfonso Soriano
Ryan Braun tears up the bases and Mike Cameron is also good himself. Ryan Braun has 165 TB's on the season and Mike Cameron has 113. Alfonso Soriano has 129 and Derrick Lee has 117 TB's. So statistically the Brewers have the advantage in TB's combo. But they lack the pitcher. So it will be close. I will go with DL and AS on this one just because of the sucky pitcher they are going up against that the Brew Crew are putting out there.
SM's reason for this prop: Because with the ability of Braun and Cameron to light up the base path they look like the natural pick. But with the Brewers sucky pitcher he is thinking that DLee and AS are going to win I think the same.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers-MLB
Looking at it it looks like a pitching advantage to the Brewers, but I am not going to buy that. Yeah he is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA, but he just had a 3 ER inning vs. the Giants so there I give advantage Cubs, and also Dempster has had good outings vs. the Brewers. This could be a good pick for the Cubs. But one of my new rules are to never pick the Cubs or Mets.
Vegas Odds:
Chicago:-143
Milwaukee:+133
SM's reason for prop: Because these two will probably have a good game and SM is hoping for McClung to have a good outing.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
Well this is a good matchup of pitchers although the records don't show it this will be a good matchup. I really like Lackey in this one though. Guthrie is decent pitcher and Lackey is better.
I like the Angels.
Who will hit the first homer?
Orioles first or no homer
Angels first hr.
The Angels have more powerful bats so I expect some homers. The Angels are powerful sluggers and are at home.
Good Streaking and God Bless!!!
Sincerely,
The Thoroughbred
Tuesday, June 30, 2009
Streaking For The Cash: July 1st
Welcome to July fellow streakers. I has been a terrible month of streaking for me in June and frankly I am glad its over. To the picks.
Will Roger Federer win in straight sets?
Yes-Roger Federer will win 3-0
Any other result.
Well this afternoon had you asked me about this prop the answer would have been yes. But after doing more research on this prop I will say no. I believe that Karlovic sneaks a set out. I just was looking at career head-to-head and realized that Roger owns the Croatian, but 7 of 8 of those matches were either on clay or hard court. The only grass meeting these two have had was in 2004 when Roger won in straight sets , but two of the sets went to tiebreakers. I think that we all agree that Karlovic probably has gotten better since then and I would have to think that with that nasty serve he has got he could sneak out a set. Federer has been the equivelant of Serena Williams in this Wimbledom on SFTC. Everybody doubts that she will win in a certain amount of games or in a certain amount of sets. So beware but I will say that Karlovic sneaks out a "mercy set". That being the 3rd set.
Vegas odds:
Federer in 3 sets:-140
Any other result: EVEN
Sm's reason for prop: This is a toss up, even the odds say so (not a real cozy spread) ,and with Karlovic and his big serve. If this goes to a tie breaker with Karlovic and Fed and Karlovic has serve advantage I say he wins that set.
Andy Roddick vs. Lleyton Hewitt
How many sets will be played.
3 or 5 sets
4 sets
I would say 4 sets. These two just played on grass just a week ago. Roddick won in 2 sets. Well of course here he has to win 3 straight. That scares me but I do think that Lleyton Hewitt steals one like I think Karlovic will Federer. Although many people would argue that with the 3 or 5 sets you would stand a better chance of winning I will stick with my statistical research and gut.
Vegas Odds: If anybody could help me interpret these odds, but I believe that it says that the best chance for Roddick to win is in a 3-1 game. Right? I'm not sure, thank you. Heres the site.
http://sports.bodog.com/sports-betting/tennis-atp.jsp
Sm's reason for the prop: He feels as though Hewitt (who is one of my favorites of all time) is going to sneak out a set. Well I agree.
Josh Johnson K's vs. Washington Hits: Off Johnson.
This is about as statistically even as you can get. He on the season has allowed 92 hits and 94 K's. I think though that Johnson K's more Nationals than allows hits. I really think that one thing that we all underrate about baseball is the weather. Smoltering 100 degree temps tend to get to both batters and pitchers, but Johnson has pitched in it before, the Nats don't usually hit in that kind of heat. Also Johnson's first outing against the Nats he allowed 7 hits and 8 K's.
SM's reason for this prop: It is about as close to a dead even pick as you will ever get.
Tampa Bay vs. Toronto- MLB
Tampa thus far likes the 4-1 score. Winning the first two by that margin. Here I also like the Rays, its not very often that a team has another teams number in essence and for the Rays that is the way that it seems to be right now. Both pitchers have decent ERA's at around a 3.2 and 3.4. So probably won't be a high scoring game, but with the Rays having better bats I will take them to win this matchup and get the sweep of the Jays.
I will list the vegas odds page at the bottom of my post since they don't update them until tomorrow morning. I will leave the link for you to check.
Sm's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers a team trying not to get swept.
IK Start vs. @Lillestrom- Soccer
I dread these low level European league soccer club matches. IK gets the win/draw option, and Lillestrom has just the win option. Like usual Lillestrom, or the team with just the win is at home and most people see if a team is at home since homefield advantage is key in soccer, but I have seen alot of the win/draw options win, and I think that they will here to. They are favored in the negatives but I don't know how to convert the win and draw together. But from what I saw IK Start was favored pretty.
Lillestrom: +135
IK Start: +185
Draw: +235
SM's reason for prop: A way to trick people into taking the win since it has been more successful lately but I think it will be a draw.
Minnesota vs. Kansas City: MLB
I will not be sucked into taking the Royals here. They are not very good on SFTC. Mind you they have been good against the Twins, but I still think that they win. Mauer, Morneau are to powerful and with a bad pitching for the Royals I say Twins.
See bottom for bodog
SM's reason for the prop: KC's success against the Twins, but I still like the Twins here.
Philadelphia vs. Atlanta- MLB
Another good pitching matchup on Wednesday. Jurrgens who in my opinion is one of the most overshadowed players in the majors has allowed only a 2.93 ERA but only managed a 5-6 record to show. This guy gets run support he is a 8-9 win guy. Hamels also is solid. This one will be close but if they stand any chance of not getting swept it will be this one with Hamels on the mound.
See bottom for bodog
SM's reason for prop: So you will see Hamels name and think well easy win for the Phils.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland- MLB
Take a deep breath I know you guys are happy that it is not the North siders or aka the streak destroying Cubs. Listen this one is not safe at all. I don't even know that I would risk a one game losing streak on this. To much inconsistency here. Contreras's starts look like something out of a horror film, not only are they not very good pitching on his part he also gets very little run support. Sowers on the other hand has gotten run support and won a decent amount of games. I will take the Indians just because of the home field and better pitching matchups.
See bottom for bodog.
SM's reason for prop: So many inconsistencys could go either way.
San Francisco vs. St. Louis- MLB.
I will and hate to say it but I will give the advantage to the Giants. Being the Cards fan I am I hate to say it but they will get swept. The Giants traditionally have been good against them. Also they have their second best pitcher out there in Matt Cain. Yeah it pretty bad when you are the second best on a team as far as pitching and you have a 9-2 2.57 ERA. Wainwright is consistent just not as good as Cain and it will show tomorrow night.
See bottom for bodog.
SM's reason for prop: A good pitching duel with a big timer Wainwright and a little known Matt Cain to trick everybody.
Corinthians vs. Internacional- Soccer.
To my knowledge the Inter team is favored. I could not find much info on it. But I will risk my streak on Inter. And I mean that.
SM's reason for prop: to get everybody to take the draw option.
Houston vs. San Diego- MLB
Wow I think I will take Moehler and the Astros for this one. Silva has a 9+ ERA and this makes me think that the Astros can handle business with them.
See bottom for bodog odds.
SM's reason for the prop: I really don't know except neither pitcher is very good.
Montreal vs. Calgary- Canadian Football League.
Ah football even if it is Canadian. I have heard that Calgary plays in the tougher conference and has owned the Alouettes in the past. So I say Calgary.
See bottom for bodog odds.
SM's reason for prop: Throw a little football in there. Maybe? I don't know maybe he smells upset special.
http://sports.bodog.com/
God Bless and if anybody needs any help streaking (my specialty) I will be more than happy to answer any questions. On either here or at the group Choker Nation where I answer all questions. http://streak.espn.go.com/group?groupID=153185&selGrp=153185. Happy July Streaking. God Bless!!!
Will Roger Federer win in straight sets?
Yes-Roger Federer will win 3-0
Any other result.
Well this afternoon had you asked me about this prop the answer would have been yes. But after doing more research on this prop I will say no. I believe that Karlovic sneaks a set out. I just was looking at career head-to-head and realized that Roger owns the Croatian, but 7 of 8 of those matches were either on clay or hard court. The only grass meeting these two have had was in 2004 when Roger won in straight sets , but two of the sets went to tiebreakers. I think that we all agree that Karlovic probably has gotten better since then and I would have to think that with that nasty serve he has got he could sneak out a set. Federer has been the equivelant of Serena Williams in this Wimbledom on SFTC. Everybody doubts that she will win in a certain amount of games or in a certain amount of sets. So beware but I will say that Karlovic sneaks out a "mercy set". That being the 3rd set.
Vegas odds:
Federer in 3 sets:-140
Any other result: EVEN
Sm's reason for prop: This is a toss up, even the odds say so (not a real cozy spread) ,and with Karlovic and his big serve. If this goes to a tie breaker with Karlovic and Fed and Karlovic has serve advantage I say he wins that set.
Andy Roddick vs. Lleyton Hewitt
How many sets will be played.
3 or 5 sets
4 sets
I would say 4 sets. These two just played on grass just a week ago. Roddick won in 2 sets. Well of course here he has to win 3 straight. That scares me but I do think that Lleyton Hewitt steals one like I think Karlovic will Federer. Although many people would argue that with the 3 or 5 sets you would stand a better chance of winning I will stick with my statistical research and gut.
Vegas Odds: If anybody could help me interpret these odds, but I believe that it says that the best chance for Roddick to win is in a 3-1 game. Right? I'm not sure, thank you. Heres the site.
http://sports.bodog.com/sports-betting/tennis-atp.jsp
Sm's reason for the prop: He feels as though Hewitt (who is one of my favorites of all time) is going to sneak out a set. Well I agree.
Josh Johnson K's vs. Washington Hits: Off Johnson.
This is about as statistically even as you can get. He on the season has allowed 92 hits and 94 K's. I think though that Johnson K's more Nationals than allows hits. I really think that one thing that we all underrate about baseball is the weather. Smoltering 100 degree temps tend to get to both batters and pitchers, but Johnson has pitched in it before, the Nats don't usually hit in that kind of heat. Also Johnson's first outing against the Nats he allowed 7 hits and 8 K's.
SM's reason for this prop: It is about as close to a dead even pick as you will ever get.
Tampa Bay vs. Toronto- MLB
Tampa thus far likes the 4-1 score. Winning the first two by that margin. Here I also like the Rays, its not very often that a team has another teams number in essence and for the Rays that is the way that it seems to be right now. Both pitchers have decent ERA's at around a 3.2 and 3.4. So probably won't be a high scoring game, but with the Rays having better bats I will take them to win this matchup and get the sweep of the Jays.
I will list the vegas odds page at the bottom of my post since they don't update them until tomorrow morning. I will leave the link for you to check.
Sm's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers a team trying not to get swept.
IK Start vs. @Lillestrom- Soccer
I dread these low level European league soccer club matches. IK gets the win/draw option, and Lillestrom has just the win option. Like usual Lillestrom, or the team with just the win is at home and most people see if a team is at home since homefield advantage is key in soccer, but I have seen alot of the win/draw options win, and I think that they will here to. They are favored in the negatives but I don't know how to convert the win and draw together. But from what I saw IK Start was favored pretty.
Lillestrom: +135
IK Start: +185
Draw: +235
SM's reason for prop: A way to trick people into taking the win since it has been more successful lately but I think it will be a draw.
Minnesota vs. Kansas City: MLB
I will not be sucked into taking the Royals here. They are not very good on SFTC. Mind you they have been good against the Twins, but I still think that they win. Mauer, Morneau are to powerful and with a bad pitching for the Royals I say Twins.
See bottom for bodog
SM's reason for the prop: KC's success against the Twins, but I still like the Twins here.
Philadelphia vs. Atlanta- MLB
Another good pitching matchup on Wednesday. Jurrgens who in my opinion is one of the most overshadowed players in the majors has allowed only a 2.93 ERA but only managed a 5-6 record to show. This guy gets run support he is a 8-9 win guy. Hamels also is solid. This one will be close but if they stand any chance of not getting swept it will be this one with Hamels on the mound.
See bottom for bodog
SM's reason for prop: So you will see Hamels name and think well easy win for the Phils.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland- MLB
Take a deep breath I know you guys are happy that it is not the North siders or aka the streak destroying Cubs. Listen this one is not safe at all. I don't even know that I would risk a one game losing streak on this. To much inconsistency here. Contreras's starts look like something out of a horror film, not only are they not very good pitching on his part he also gets very little run support. Sowers on the other hand has gotten run support and won a decent amount of games. I will take the Indians just because of the home field and better pitching matchups.
See bottom for bodog.
SM's reason for prop: So many inconsistencys could go either way.
San Francisco vs. St. Louis- MLB.
I will and hate to say it but I will give the advantage to the Giants. Being the Cards fan I am I hate to say it but they will get swept. The Giants traditionally have been good against them. Also they have their second best pitcher out there in Matt Cain. Yeah it pretty bad when you are the second best on a team as far as pitching and you have a 9-2 2.57 ERA. Wainwright is consistent just not as good as Cain and it will show tomorrow night.
See bottom for bodog.
SM's reason for prop: A good pitching duel with a big timer Wainwright and a little known Matt Cain to trick everybody.
Corinthians vs. Internacional- Soccer.
To my knowledge the Inter team is favored. I could not find much info on it. But I will risk my streak on Inter. And I mean that.
SM's reason for prop: to get everybody to take the draw option.
Houston vs. San Diego- MLB
Wow I think I will take Moehler and the Astros for this one. Silva has a 9+ ERA and this makes me think that the Astros can handle business with them.
See bottom for bodog odds.
SM's reason for the prop: I really don't know except neither pitcher is very good.
Montreal vs. Calgary- Canadian Football League.
Ah football even if it is Canadian. I have heard that Calgary plays in the tougher conference and has owned the Alouettes in the past. So I say Calgary.
See bottom for bodog odds.
SM's reason for prop: Throw a little football in there. Maybe? I don't know maybe he smells upset special.
http://sports.bodog.com/
God Bless and if anybody needs any help streaking (my specialty) I will be more than happy to answer any questions. On either here or at the group Choker Nation where I answer all questions. http://streak.espn.go.com/group?groupID=153185&selGrp=153185. Happy July Streaking. God Bless!!!
Streaking This Evening
Hello peeps. I have been away for awhile and no access to internet ,but i am back. And ready to give you insight on night matchups.
Poker-Will the winner have a bracelet?
Yes/ No.
I will say no. I don't know a whole lot about this pick, but I know enough not to pick it because it could be time consuming taking up to 6 hrs.
Minnesota vs. Atlanta-WNBA
I will take the Dream. Although %'s would say go with the Lynx. Not buying it. On SFTC and in the WNBA generally a rule of thumb to go by is take the home team. I am sticking to the strategy with this one. The Lynx are also without their leading scorer Seimone Augustus. So I'll take the Dream.
Vegas Odds:
Minnesota-+4
Atlanta--4
SM's reason for prop: Simply he wants you to look at the club records Minnesota 6-3 and ATL at 4-5 and give the clear cut advantage to the better team.
Philly vs. Atlanta-MLB
I will take the Braves in this one. Although Joe Blanton has been pitching better on the road. Derek Lowe has owned the Phils career 5-0 againt them. Also this season ATL is 4-2 against the Phils.
ATL:-175
PHI-+155
Sm's reason for prop: A good road team against a decent teams ace and a division rival. Should be a close one that comes down to the last few innings making it a nailbiter.
Chicago vs. Pittsburgh- MLB
I'll take the Cubs, but not to easy about. You might say that the Pirates are owned by the Cubs, but even with Ted Lilly's decent record he has struggled lately on the flipside Ohlendorf has never faced the Cubs. Although the Cubs have streaky bats and could not show up tonight I will say Cubs win.
CHC--125
PITT-+115
SM's reason for prop: He is predicting an upset. And hoping that Ohlendorf has a good first outing against the Cubs. I may just happen, but I don't see it.
Tampa Bay vs. Toronto- MLB
I don't know which way this will go. Matt Garza has had success against the Jays but he has not got the best of run support. He only career allows 1.99 ERA against them. But in my opinion the Jays have one of the most underated hitting orders in the majors. I will go upset special here, but it could go either way.
Vegas Odds:
TAM: -121
TOR:+111
SM's reason for prop: This Toronto team can score in a hurry. Richmond is a underrated pitcher and has shown good promise. These two teams also are matched up pretty evenly.
Johan Santana: Pitches thrown-MLB
I don't really like these props but I did a little research on it. On average Johan throws about 101 pitches a game. The thing is this # goes up and down. In other words he could pitch 125 or 85. I also looked at the Brewers hitting. They are good hitters. They can hurt pitchers with their hitting. I will say under for that reason.
LAA vs. Texas Rangers- MLB
Two good pitchers on the mound. Danny Feldman and Joe Saunders. I will take the Angels. There are those teams on SFTC that just seem to do good and the Angels are one. Texas has faired well against the Angels ( 3-1 this year). I still like the Angels to get the job done in Texas.
LAA:-101
Tex:-109
Sm's reason for prop: Two good pitchers and a good two good hitting staffs and the best two teams in the AL West. Should be good even Vegas thinks so.
Minnesota vs. Kansas City-MLB
This is alot closer than %'s show. The Twins have not had as much success against the Royals as everyone else. Scott Baker has struggled this season, and I have seen Bannister pitch against the Card's a potent offense and saw what he did against them giving up only one run. I will give the edge to the Royals. Playing at Kaufmann and having the success against the Twins like they have.
Min:-143
KC-+133
Detroit vs. Oakland-MLB
Last night the A's shocked us all. I don't think that they do it again. Galarraga will probably give up runs but I don't know if he gives up as many as Gio Gonzalez. Both pitchers have higher than average ERA's, but I think that the Tigers get out with this one.
Det:-112
Oak:+102
SM's reason for this prop: The A's can hit, two bad pitchers that could give up alot of runs.
How many runs will be scored before the fifth.
3 or fewer
4 or more
Marquis and Billingsley are pitching enough said for me. I think that there might be 3 scored in this prop but I doubt it.
Thanks for reading this and God Bless!!!
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Streaking today
Hello fellow streakers! For Americans on the Streak Board it has been a good day for those who picked the US soccer prop and the more aces won very handily by Sam Querrey. I unfortunately didn't pick either of the. But for the Serena pick I went against my gut and well lost. The win for the US soccer team is big. I don't know neccesarily big for the viewing or money incentives, but it does give loyal American soccer fans something to cheer about. Enough with the chitchat now to my picks.
1. Yankees @ Braves-MLB: 7:05 est.
I will personally tell you that I like the Braves in this one. Joba Chamberlain just gave up a demoralizing loss to the Washington Nationals. Although I will not blame this on him alone (because he only allowed 3 earned runs) and he has a batting line-up that against the Nationals should be able to get 10-12 runs on them. On the flipside Kawakami just pitched against the Boston Red Sox and had only 2 earned runs in 6 innings pitched. And the Braves batters have been alot more consistent. I would alot rather have a consistent hitting team than a bunch of inconsistent "Bronx Bombers". In a realistic manner of thinking these guys at NY are used to hitting the balls out of the park and not necessarily playing strategic baseball. Pitchers own them the last few games (5-1 with a 2.5 ERA).
SM reason for this prop?: Simple we're all supposed to look at the Yankees and think that since they have Joba and are an AL "powerhouse" so to speak we should choose them. I'm not buying it!
Vegas Odds: Yankees: -133 @Braves: +123
http://sports.bodog.com/
ESPN Simulator: Braves: 52% Yankees: 48%
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/preview?gameId=290624115
Weather: Should not be a problem. Only says about a 10% chance on www.weather.com.
2. LSU @ Texas-CBASE: 7:00 est.
I really like the Tigers in this one. LSU has consistently played better in the College World Series although they have hung on by the skin of their teeth. If you look at pitching match-ups look at LSU and think a no brainer. Anthony Ranaudo - 9.1 IP, 9 H, 2 ER, 8 K, 4 BB, 1.93 ERA. vs. Cole Green - 13.0 IP, 14 H, 5 ER, 14 K, 4 BB, 3.75 ERA. Although all the stats seem pretty tight. ERA is heavily in favor. I realize that there is a difference in innings but you can't argue with a 1.9 ERA it is pretty good. Both teams have hitters which if you think about it ERA is a pretty important thing when talking about pitchers going against power hitting teams.
SM reason for this prop?: Of course its a championship game and very time consuming. I would recommend not taking this if you are looking at getting a 10:05 pick in. But these two teams are pretty evenly matched. Both power hitters and good fielding. I only give the edge to LSU for the slight pitching and momentum boost they have.
Vegas Odds: LSU:-150 ,Texas:+130
Weather: Don't panic about the weather. There is supposed to be a 10-15% chance of precip.,but nothing major according to www.weather.com
3. Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay-MLB: 7:08 est.
Well an interesting prop indeed. You don't see many of these who will have the leads after the 5th inning props. But I will put my streak on the line with it. The Phillies are the best road team in the majors. But Joe Blanton is nowhere near the feat. With the Rays bats and a rematch of he World series I will take the Rays for this prop. The Phills are just as apt to make a come back and win but I like the Rays with Longoria and Crawford and company to get out and after Blanton early.
4. St. Louis @ New York Mets-MLB:7:10 est.
I am a huge Cards fan. But with all of that aside I really like the Mets. I am not nearly as impressed with the starting rotations as some. Brad Thompson can pitch well. But after looking at the stats on this Nieve guy 2-0 1.84 ERA. At home I will take him. But Beltran is still out of the line-up. I really feel strongly about the Mets here.
Vegas Odds: St. Louis Cardinals: -105 @ New York Mets:-105
ESPN Simulator: Cardinals: 50% (underdog), Mets:50% (favorite)
SM reason for this prop?: Statistically a dead even matchup. With two gem throwing potential pitchers.
Weather: I do think that there could be rain. According to www.weather.com they say that there is a 40% chance of rain. So beware but still will probably go without a delay or at most a minimal delay.
5. Minnesota @ Milwaukee-MLB: 8:05 est.
Well as far as a "lock" I would nearly call this one that. Milwaukee has had its woes in the recent. Blackburn is no slouch and Minnesota owns Milwaukee this season (4-0). Mike Cameron is the only bright spot in the Brewers line-up against the Twins. Mauer, Morneau, and Joe Crede can hit so I think the Twins pile it on and win big with Blackburn getting the CG.
Vegas Odds: Twins:-119 @Brewers+109
ESPN Simulator: Minnesota 56%, Milwaukee 44%
SM reason for this prop?: I really don't know unless he thinks there is going to be an upset.
Weather: 60% precip may have delays!
6. Dallas (Win/Draw) @ Colorado (Win)-MLS: 9:30 est.
I don't know much about MLS, but from what I have seen Colorado is the heavy favorite with good momentum coming into this game. Dallas also had a good win before this this match. So a momentus home team. I'll take Colorado in a 2-1 game.
Vegas Odds: Dallas win- +360 Dallas draw-+250, Colorado win -140.
SM reason for this prop?:A momentus home team against a team coming off of a momentus victory!
7. Colorado @ Los Angeles Angels-MLB: 10:05 est.
I really think that Colorado takes this one. Marquis and Saunders are even pretty much as far as pitching matchups are concerned. But Marquis has went through games longer. He also has seemed to get more run support. Marquis is hotter lately and Rockies have went on a run lately. Very close game but Marquis and the Rocks close it out.
Vegas Odds: Colorado: +130 LAA: -140
ESPN Simulator: Colorado: 43% LAA: 57%
Weather: No significant amounts of precip. expected.
8. San Diego @ Seattle-MLB: 10:10 est.
I am not falling for the 90% curse again. I think in general the Padres are a better team. I expect them to come out and win. Both pitchers suck so expect a high one. But something just says go with San Diego. So I will.
Vegas Odds: San Diego: +132, Seattle: -142.
ESPN Simulator: Seattle: 60%, San Diego: 40%
SM reason for prop?: Two inconsistent pitchers and two evenly matched teams.
Weather: No significant precip. expected.
Good luck, Happy Streaking and God Bless everyone!!
1. Yankees @ Braves-MLB: 7:05 est.
I will personally tell you that I like the Braves in this one. Joba Chamberlain just gave up a demoralizing loss to the Washington Nationals. Although I will not blame this on him alone (because he only allowed 3 earned runs) and he has a batting line-up that against the Nationals should be able to get 10-12 runs on them. On the flipside Kawakami just pitched against the Boston Red Sox and had only 2 earned runs in 6 innings pitched. And the Braves batters have been alot more consistent. I would alot rather have a consistent hitting team than a bunch of inconsistent "Bronx Bombers". In a realistic manner of thinking these guys at NY are used to hitting the balls out of the park and not necessarily playing strategic baseball. Pitchers own them the last few games (5-1 with a 2.5 ERA).
SM reason for this prop?: Simple we're all supposed to look at the Yankees and think that since they have Joba and are an AL "powerhouse" so to speak we should choose them. I'm not buying it!
Vegas Odds: Yankees: -133 @Braves: +123
http://sports.bodog.com/
ESPN Simulator: Braves: 52% Yankees: 48%
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/preview?gameId=290624115
Weather: Should not be a problem. Only says about a 10% chance on www.weather.com.
2. LSU @ Texas-CBASE: 7:00 est.
I really like the Tigers in this one. LSU has consistently played better in the College World Series although they have hung on by the skin of their teeth. If you look at pitching match-ups look at LSU and think a no brainer. Anthony Ranaudo - 9.1 IP, 9 H, 2 ER, 8 K, 4 BB, 1.93 ERA. vs. Cole Green - 13.0 IP, 14 H, 5 ER, 14 K, 4 BB, 3.75 ERA. Although all the stats seem pretty tight. ERA is heavily in favor. I realize that there is a difference in innings but you can't argue with a 1.9 ERA it is pretty good. Both teams have hitters which if you think about it ERA is a pretty important thing when talking about pitchers going against power hitting teams.
SM reason for this prop?: Of course its a championship game and very time consuming. I would recommend not taking this if you are looking at getting a 10:05 pick in. But these two teams are pretty evenly matched. Both power hitters and good fielding. I only give the edge to LSU for the slight pitching and momentum boost they have.
Vegas Odds: LSU:-150 ,Texas:+130
Weather: Don't panic about the weather. There is supposed to be a 10-15% chance of precip.,but nothing major according to www.weather.com
3. Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay-MLB: 7:08 est.
Well an interesting prop indeed. You don't see many of these who will have the leads after the 5th inning props. But I will put my streak on the line with it. The Phillies are the best road team in the majors. But Joe Blanton is nowhere near the feat. With the Rays bats and a rematch of he World series I will take the Rays for this prop. The Phills are just as apt to make a come back and win but I like the Rays with Longoria and Crawford and company to get out and after Blanton early.
4. St. Louis @ New York Mets-MLB:7:10 est.
I am a huge Cards fan. But with all of that aside I really like the Mets. I am not nearly as impressed with the starting rotations as some. Brad Thompson can pitch well. But after looking at the stats on this Nieve guy 2-0 1.84 ERA. At home I will take him. But Beltran is still out of the line-up. I really feel strongly about the Mets here.
Vegas Odds: St. Louis Cardinals: -105 @ New York Mets:-105
ESPN Simulator: Cardinals: 50% (underdog), Mets:50% (favorite)
SM reason for this prop?: Statistically a dead even matchup. With two gem throwing potential pitchers.
Weather: I do think that there could be rain. According to www.weather.com they say that there is a 40% chance of rain. So beware but still will probably go without a delay or at most a minimal delay.
5. Minnesota @ Milwaukee-MLB: 8:05 est.
Well as far as a "lock" I would nearly call this one that. Milwaukee has had its woes in the recent. Blackburn is no slouch and Minnesota owns Milwaukee this season (4-0). Mike Cameron is the only bright spot in the Brewers line-up against the Twins. Mauer, Morneau, and Joe Crede can hit so I think the Twins pile it on and win big with Blackburn getting the CG.
Vegas Odds: Twins:-119 @Brewers+109
ESPN Simulator: Minnesota 56%, Milwaukee 44%
SM reason for this prop?: I really don't know unless he thinks there is going to be an upset.
Weather: 60% precip may have delays!
6. Dallas (Win/Draw) @ Colorado (Win)-MLS: 9:30 est.
I don't know much about MLS, but from what I have seen Colorado is the heavy favorite with good momentum coming into this game. Dallas also had a good win before this this match. So a momentus home team. I'll take Colorado in a 2-1 game.
Vegas Odds: Dallas win- +360 Dallas draw-+250, Colorado win -140.
SM reason for this prop?:A momentus home team against a team coming off of a momentus victory!
7. Colorado @ Los Angeles Angels-MLB: 10:05 est.
I really think that Colorado takes this one. Marquis and Saunders are even pretty much as far as pitching matchups are concerned. But Marquis has went through games longer. He also has seemed to get more run support. Marquis is hotter lately and Rockies have went on a run lately. Very close game but Marquis and the Rocks close it out.
Vegas Odds: Colorado: +130 LAA: -140
ESPN Simulator: Colorado: 43% LAA: 57%
Weather: No significant amounts of precip. expected.
8. San Diego @ Seattle-MLB: 10:10 est.
I am not falling for the 90% curse again. I think in general the Padres are a better team. I expect them to come out and win. Both pitchers suck so expect a high one. But something just says go with San Diego. So I will.
Vegas Odds: San Diego: +132, Seattle: -142.
ESPN Simulator: Seattle: 60%, San Diego: 40%
SM reason for prop?: Two inconsistent pitchers and two evenly matched teams.
Weather: No significant precip. expected.
Good luck, Happy Streaking and God Bless everyone!!
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