Streaking For The Cash: July 1st

Welcome to July fellow streakers. I has been a terrible month of streaking for me in June and frankly I am glad its over. To the picks.

Will Roger Federer win in straight sets?
Yes-Roger Federer will win 3-0
Any other result.
Well this afternoon had you asked me about this prop the answer would have been yes. But after doing more research on this prop I will say no. I believe that Karlovic sneaks a set out. I just was looking at career head-to-head and realized that Roger owns the Croatian, but 7 of 8 of those matches were either on clay or hard court. The only grass meeting these two have had was in 2004 when Roger won in straight sets , but two of the sets went to tiebreakers. I think that we all agree that Karlovic probably has gotten better since then and I would have to think that with that nasty serve he has got he could sneak out a set. Federer has been the equivelant of Serena Williams in this Wimbledom on SFTC. Everybody doubts that she will win in a certain amount of games or in a certain amount of sets. So beware but I will say that Karlovic sneaks out a "mercy set". That being the 3rd set.

Vegas odds:

Federer in 3 sets:-140
Any other result: EVEN

Sm's reason for prop: This is a toss up, even the odds say so (not a real cozy spread) ,and with Karlovic and his big serve. If this goes to a tie breaker with Karlovic and Fed and Karlovic has serve advantage I say he wins that set.

Andy Roddick vs. Lleyton Hewitt
How many sets will be played.
3 or 5 sets
4 sets
I would say 4 sets. These two just played on grass just a week ago. Roddick won in 2 sets. Well of course here he has to win 3 straight. That scares me but I do think that Lleyton Hewitt steals one like I think Karlovic will Federer. Although many people would argue that with the 3 or 5 sets you would stand a better chance of winning I will stick with my statistical research and gut.

Vegas Odds: If anybody could help me interpret these odds, but I believe that it says that the best chance for Roddick to win is in a 3-1 game. Right? I'm not sure, thank you. Heres the site.
http://sports.bodog.com/sports-betting/tennis-atp.jsp

Sm's reason for the prop: He feels as though Hewitt (who is one of my favorites of all time) is going to sneak out a set. Well I agree.

Josh Johnson K's vs. Washington Hits: Off Johnson.
This is about as statistically even as you can get. He on the season has allowed 92 hits and 94 K's. I think though that Johnson K's more Nationals than allows hits. I really think that one thing that we all underrate about baseball is the weather. Smoltering 100 degree temps tend to get to both batters and pitchers, but Johnson has pitched in it before, the Nats don't usually hit in that kind of heat. Also Johnson's first outing against the Nats he allowed 7 hits and 8 K's.

SM's reason for this prop: It is about as close to a dead even pick as you will ever get.

Tampa Bay vs. Toronto- MLB
Tampa thus far likes the 4-1 score. Winning the first two by that margin. Here I also like the Rays, its not very often that a team has another teams number in essence and for the Rays that is the way that it seems to be right now. Both pitchers have decent ERA's at around a 3.2 and 3.4. So probably won't be a high scoring game, but with the Rays having better bats I will take them to win this matchup and get the sweep of the Jays.

I will list the vegas odds page at the bottom of my post since they don't update them until tomorrow morning. I will leave the link for you to check.

Sm's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers a team trying not to get swept.

IK Start vs. @Lillestrom- Soccer
I dread these low level European league soccer club matches. IK gets the win/draw option, and Lillestrom has just the win option. Like usual Lillestrom, or the team with just the win is at home and most people see if a team is at home since homefield advantage is key in soccer, but I have seen alot of the win/draw options win, and I think that they will here to. They are favored in the negatives but I don't know how to convert the win and draw together. But from what I saw IK Start was favored pretty.

Lillestrom: +135
IK Start: +185
Draw: +235

SM's reason for prop: A way to trick people into taking the win since it has been more successful lately but I think it will be a draw.

Minnesota vs. Kansas City: MLB
I will not be sucked into taking the Royals here. They are not very good on SFTC. Mind you they have been good against the Twins, but I still think that they win. Mauer, Morneau are to powerful and with a bad pitching for the Royals I say Twins.

See bottom for bodog

SM's reason for the prop: KC's success against the Twins, but I still like the Twins here.

Philadelphia vs. Atlanta- MLB
Another good pitching matchup on Wednesday. Jurrgens who in my opinion is one of the most overshadowed players in the majors has allowed only a 2.93 ERA but only managed a 5-6 record to show. This guy gets run support he is a 8-9 win guy. Hamels also is solid. This one will be close but if they stand any chance of not getting swept it will be this one with Hamels on the mound.

See bottom for bodog

SM's reason for prop: So you will see Hamels name and think well easy win for the Phils.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland- MLB
Take a deep breath I know you guys are happy that it is not the North siders or aka the streak destroying Cubs. Listen this one is not safe at all. I don't even know that I would risk a one game losing streak on this. To much inconsistency here. Contreras's starts look like something out of a horror film, not only are they not very good pitching on his part he also gets very little run support. Sowers on the other hand has gotten run support and won a decent amount of games. I will take the Indians just because of the home field and better pitching matchups.

See bottom for bodog.

SM's reason for prop: So many inconsistencys could go either way.

San Francisco vs. St. Louis- MLB.
I will and hate to say it but I will give the advantage to the Giants. Being the Cards fan I am I hate to say it but they will get swept. The Giants traditionally have been good against them. Also they have their second best pitcher out there in Matt Cain. Yeah it pretty bad when you are the second best on a team as far as pitching and you have a 9-2 2.57 ERA. Wainwright is consistent just not as good as Cain and it will show tomorrow night.

See bottom for bodog.

SM's reason for prop: A good pitching duel with a big timer Wainwright and a little known Matt Cain to trick everybody.

Corinthians vs. Internacional- Soccer.
To my knowledge the Inter team is favored. I could not find much info on it. But I will risk my streak on Inter. And I mean that.

SM's reason for prop: to get everybody to take the draw option.

Houston vs. San Diego- MLB
Wow I think I will take Moehler and the Astros for this one. Silva has a 9+ ERA and this makes me think that the Astros can handle business with them.

See bottom for bodog odds.

SM's reason for the prop: I really don't know except neither pitcher is very good.

Montreal vs. Calgary- Canadian Football League.
Ah football even if it is Canadian. I have heard that Calgary plays in the tougher conference and has owned the Alouettes in the past. So I say Calgary.

See bottom for bodog odds.

SM's reason for prop: Throw a little football in there. Maybe? I don't know maybe he smells upset special.

http://sports.bodog.com/

God Bless and if anybody needs any help streaking (my specialty) I will be more than happy to answer any questions. On either here or at the group Choker Nation where I answer all questions. http://streak.espn.go.com/group?groupID=153185&selGrp=153185. Happy July Streaking. God Bless!!!