Streaking For The Cash: July 1st

Welcome to July fellow streakers. I has been a terrible month of streaking for me in June and frankly I am glad its over. To the picks.

Will Roger Federer win in straight sets?
Yes-Roger Federer will win 3-0
Any other result.
Well this afternoon had you asked me about this prop the answer would have been yes. But after doing more research on this prop I will say no. I believe that Karlovic sneaks a set out. I just was looking at career head-to-head and realized that Roger owns the Croatian, but 7 of 8 of those matches were either on clay or hard court. The only grass meeting these two have had was in 2004 when Roger won in straight sets , but two of the sets went to tiebreakers. I think that we all agree that Karlovic probably has gotten better since then and I would have to think that with that nasty serve he has got he could sneak out a set. Federer has been the equivelant of Serena Williams in this Wimbledom on SFTC. Everybody doubts that she will win in a certain amount of games or in a certain amount of sets. So beware but I will say that Karlovic sneaks out a "mercy set". That being the 3rd set.

Vegas odds:

Federer in 3 sets:-140
Any other result: EVEN

Sm's reason for prop: This is a toss up, even the odds say so (not a real cozy spread) ,and with Karlovic and his big serve. If this goes to a tie breaker with Karlovic and Fed and Karlovic has serve advantage I say he wins that set.

Andy Roddick vs. Lleyton Hewitt
How many sets will be played.
3 or 5 sets
4 sets
I would say 4 sets. These two just played on grass just a week ago. Roddick won in 2 sets. Well of course here he has to win 3 straight. That scares me but I do think that Lleyton Hewitt steals one like I think Karlovic will Federer. Although many people would argue that with the 3 or 5 sets you would stand a better chance of winning I will stick with my statistical research and gut.

Vegas Odds: If anybody could help me interpret these odds, but I believe that it says that the best chance for Roddick to win is in a 3-1 game. Right? I'm not sure, thank you. Heres the site.
http://sports.bodog.com/sports-betting/tennis-atp.jsp

Sm's reason for the prop: He feels as though Hewitt (who is one of my favorites of all time) is going to sneak out a set. Well I agree.

Josh Johnson K's vs. Washington Hits: Off Johnson.
This is about as statistically even as you can get. He on the season has allowed 92 hits and 94 K's. I think though that Johnson K's more Nationals than allows hits. I really think that one thing that we all underrate about baseball is the weather. Smoltering 100 degree temps tend to get to both batters and pitchers, but Johnson has pitched in it before, the Nats don't usually hit in that kind of heat. Also Johnson's first outing against the Nats he allowed 7 hits and 8 K's.

SM's reason for this prop: It is about as close to a dead even pick as you will ever get.

Tampa Bay vs. Toronto- MLB
Tampa thus far likes the 4-1 score. Winning the first two by that margin. Here I also like the Rays, its not very often that a team has another teams number in essence and for the Rays that is the way that it seems to be right now. Both pitchers have decent ERA's at around a 3.2 and 3.4. So probably won't be a high scoring game, but with the Rays having better bats I will take them to win this matchup and get the sweep of the Jays.

I will list the vegas odds page at the bottom of my post since they don't update them until tomorrow morning. I will leave the link for you to check.

Sm's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers a team trying not to get swept.

IK Start vs. @Lillestrom- Soccer
I dread these low level European league soccer club matches. IK gets the win/draw option, and Lillestrom has just the win option. Like usual Lillestrom, or the team with just the win is at home and most people see if a team is at home since homefield advantage is key in soccer, but I have seen alot of the win/draw options win, and I think that they will here to. They are favored in the negatives but I don't know how to convert the win and draw together. But from what I saw IK Start was favored pretty.

Lillestrom: +135
IK Start: +185
Draw: +235

SM's reason for prop: A way to trick people into taking the win since it has been more successful lately but I think it will be a draw.

Minnesota vs. Kansas City: MLB
I will not be sucked into taking the Royals here. They are not very good on SFTC. Mind you they have been good against the Twins, but I still think that they win. Mauer, Morneau are to powerful and with a bad pitching for the Royals I say Twins.

See bottom for bodog

SM's reason for the prop: KC's success against the Twins, but I still like the Twins here.

Philadelphia vs. Atlanta- MLB
Another good pitching matchup on Wednesday. Jurrgens who in my opinion is one of the most overshadowed players in the majors has allowed only a 2.93 ERA but only managed a 5-6 record to show. This guy gets run support he is a 8-9 win guy. Hamels also is solid. This one will be close but if they stand any chance of not getting swept it will be this one with Hamels on the mound.

See bottom for bodog

SM's reason for prop: So you will see Hamels name and think well easy win for the Phils.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland- MLB
Take a deep breath I know you guys are happy that it is not the North siders or aka the streak destroying Cubs. Listen this one is not safe at all. I don't even know that I would risk a one game losing streak on this. To much inconsistency here. Contreras's starts look like something out of a horror film, not only are they not very good pitching on his part he also gets very little run support. Sowers on the other hand has gotten run support and won a decent amount of games. I will take the Indians just because of the home field and better pitching matchups.

See bottom for bodog.

SM's reason for prop: So many inconsistencys could go either way.

San Francisco vs. St. Louis- MLB.
I will and hate to say it but I will give the advantage to the Giants. Being the Cards fan I am I hate to say it but they will get swept. The Giants traditionally have been good against them. Also they have their second best pitcher out there in Matt Cain. Yeah it pretty bad when you are the second best on a team as far as pitching and you have a 9-2 2.57 ERA. Wainwright is consistent just not as good as Cain and it will show tomorrow night.

See bottom for bodog.

SM's reason for prop: A good pitching duel with a big timer Wainwright and a little known Matt Cain to trick everybody.

Corinthians vs. Internacional- Soccer.
To my knowledge the Inter team is favored. I could not find much info on it. But I will risk my streak on Inter. And I mean that.

SM's reason for prop: to get everybody to take the draw option.

Houston vs. San Diego- MLB
Wow I think I will take Moehler and the Astros for this one. Silva has a 9+ ERA and this makes me think that the Astros can handle business with them.

See bottom for bodog odds.

SM's reason for the prop: I really don't know except neither pitcher is very good.

Montreal vs. Calgary- Canadian Football League.
Ah football even if it is Canadian. I have heard that Calgary plays in the tougher conference and has owned the Alouettes in the past. So I say Calgary.

See bottom for bodog odds.

SM's reason for prop: Throw a little football in there. Maybe? I don't know maybe he smells upset special.

http://sports.bodog.com/

God Bless and if anybody needs any help streaking (my specialty) I will be more than happy to answer any questions. On either here or at the group Choker Nation where I answer all questions. http://streak.espn.go.com/group?groupID=153185&selGrp=153185. Happy July Streaking. God Bless!!!

Streaking This Evening

Hello peeps. I have been away for awhile and no access to internet ,but i am back. And ready to give you insight on night matchups.

Poker-Will the winner have a bracelet?

Yes/ No.

I will say no. I don't know a whole lot about this pick, but I know enough not to pick it because it could be time consuming taking up to 6 hrs.

Minnesota vs. Atlanta-WNBA

I will take the Dream. Although %'s would say go with the Lynx. Not buying it. On SFTC and in the WNBA generally a rule of thumb to go by is take the home team. I am sticking to the strategy with this one. The Lynx are also without their leading scorer Seimone Augustus. So I'll take the Dream.

Vegas Odds:

Minnesota-+4

Atlanta--4

SM's reason for prop: Simply he wants you to look at the club records Minnesota 6-3 and ATL at 4-5 and give the clear cut advantage to the better team.

Philly vs. Atlanta-MLB

I will take the Braves in this one. Although Joe Blanton has been pitching better on the road. Derek Lowe has owned the Phils career 5-0 againt them. Also this season ATL is 4-2 against the Phils.

ATL:-175

PHI-+155

Sm's reason for prop: A good road team against a decent teams ace and a division rival. Should be a close one that comes down to the last few innings making it a nailbiter.

Chicago vs. Pittsburgh- MLB

I'll take the Cubs, but not to easy about. You might say that the Pirates are owned by the Cubs, but even with Ted Lilly's decent record he has struggled lately on the flipside Ohlendorf has never faced the Cubs. Although the Cubs have streaky bats and could not show up tonight I will say Cubs win.

CHC--125

PITT-+115

SM's reason for prop: He is predicting an upset. And hoping that Ohlendorf has a good first outing against the Cubs. I may just happen, but I don't see it.

Tampa Bay vs. Toronto- MLB

I don't know which way this will go. Matt Garza has had success against the Jays but he has not got the best of run support. He only career allows 1.99 ERA against them. But in my opinion the Jays have one of the most underated hitting orders in the majors. I will go upset special here, but it could go either way.

Vegas Odds:

TAM: -121

TOR:+111

SM's reason for prop: This Toronto team can score in a hurry. Richmond is a underrated pitcher and has shown good promise. These two teams also are matched up pretty evenly.

Johan Santana: Pitches thrown-MLB

I don't really like these props but I did a little research on it. On average Johan throws about 101 pitches a game. The thing is this # goes up and down. In other words he could pitch 125 or 85. I also looked at the Brewers hitting. They are good hitters. They can hurt pitchers with their hitting. I will say under for that reason.

LAA vs. Texas Rangers- MLB

Two good pitchers on the mound. Danny Feldman and Joe Saunders. I will take the Angels. There are those teams on SFTC that just seem to do good and the Angels are one. Texas has faired well against the Angels ( 3-1 this year). I still like the Angels to get the job done in Texas.

LAA:-101

Tex:-109

Sm's reason for prop: Two good pitchers and a good two good hitting staffs and the best two teams in the AL West. Should be good even Vegas thinks so.

Minnesota vs. Kansas City-MLB

This is alot closer than %'s show. The Twins have not had as much success against the Royals as everyone else. Scott Baker has struggled this season, and I have seen Bannister pitch against the Card's a potent offense and saw what he did against them giving up only one run. I will give the edge to the Royals. Playing at Kaufmann and having the success against the Twins like they have.

Min:-143

KC-+133

Detroit vs. Oakland-MLB

Last night the A's shocked us all. I don't think that they do it again. Galarraga will probably give up runs but I don't know if he gives up as many as Gio Gonzalez. Both pitchers have higher than average ERA's, but I think that the Tigers get out with this one.

Det:-112

Oak:+102

SM's reason for this prop: The A's can hit, two bad pitchers that could give up alot of runs.

How many runs will be scored before the fifth.

3 or fewer

4 or more

Marquis and Billingsley are pitching enough said for me. I think that there might be 3 scored in this prop but I doubt it.

Thanks for reading this and God Bless!!!

Streaking today

Hello fellow streakers! For Americans on the Streak Board it has been a good day for those who picked the US soccer prop and the more aces won very handily by Sam Querrey. I unfortunately didn't pick either of the. But for the Serena pick I went against my gut and well lost. The win for the US soccer team is big. I don't know neccesarily big for the viewing or money incentives, but it does give loyal American soccer fans something to cheer about. Enough with the chitchat now to my picks.
1. Yankees @ Braves-MLB: 7:05 est.
I will personally tell you that I like the Braves in this one. Joba Chamberlain just gave up a demoralizing loss to the Washington Nationals. Although I will not blame this on him alone (because he only allowed 3 earned runs) and he has a batting line-up that against the Nationals should be able to get 10-12 runs on them. On the flipside Kawakami just pitched against the Boston Red Sox and had only 2 earned runs in 6 innings pitched. And the Braves batters have been alot more consistent. I would alot rather have a consistent hitting team than a bunch of inconsistent "Bronx Bombers". In a realistic manner of thinking these guys at NY are used to hitting the balls out of the park and not necessarily playing strategic baseball. Pitchers own them the last few games (5-1 with a 2.5 ERA).

SM reason for this prop?: Simple we're all supposed to look at the Yankees and think that since they have Joba and are an AL "powerhouse" so to speak we should choose them. I'm not buying it!

Vegas Odds: Yankees: -133 @Braves: +123
http://sports.bodog.com/
ESPN Simulator: Braves: 52% Yankees: 48%
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/preview?gameId=290624115
Weather: Should not be a problem. Only says about a 10% chance on www.weather.com.

2. LSU @ Texas-CBASE: 7:00 est.
I really like the Tigers in this one. LSU has consistently played better in the College World Series although they have hung on by the skin of their teeth. If you look at pitching match-ups look at LSU and think a no brainer. Anthony Ranaudo - 9.1 IP, 9 H, 2 ER, 8 K, 4 BB, 1.93 ERA. vs. Cole Green - 13.0 IP, 14 H, 5 ER, 14 K, 4 BB, 3.75 ERA. Although all the stats seem pretty tight. ERA is heavily in favor. I realize that there is a difference in innings but you can't argue with a 1.9 ERA it is pretty good. Both teams have hitters which if you think about it ERA is a pretty important thing when talking about pitchers going against power hitting teams.

SM reason for this prop?: Of course its a championship game and very time consuming. I would recommend not taking this if you are looking at getting a 10:05 pick in. But these two teams are pretty evenly matched. Both power hitters and good fielding. I only give the edge to LSU for the slight pitching and momentum boost they have.

Vegas Odds: LSU:-150 ,Texas:+130

Weather: Don't panic about the weather. There is supposed to be a 10-15% chance of precip.,but nothing major according to www.weather.com

3. Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay-MLB: 7:08 est.
Well an interesting prop indeed. You don't see many of these who will have the leads after the 5th inning props. But I will put my streak on the line with it. The Phillies are the best road team in the majors. But Joe Blanton is nowhere near the feat. With the Rays bats and a rematch of he World series I will take the Rays for this prop. The Phills are just as apt to make a come back and win but I like the Rays with Longoria and Crawford and company to get out and after Blanton early.

4. St. Louis @ New York Mets-MLB:7:10 est.
I am a huge Cards fan. But with all of that aside I really like the Mets. I am not nearly as impressed with the starting rotations as some. Brad Thompson can pitch well. But after looking at the stats on this Nieve guy 2-0 1.84 ERA. At home I will take him. But Beltran is still out of the line-up. I really feel strongly about the Mets here.

Vegas Odds: St. Louis Cardinals: -105 @ New York Mets:-105

ESPN Simulator: Cardinals: 50% (underdog), Mets:50% (favorite)

SM reason for this prop?: Statistically a dead even matchup. With two gem throwing potential pitchers.

Weather: I do think that there could be rain. According to www.weather.com they say that there is a 40% chance of rain. So beware but still will probably go without a delay or at most a minimal delay.

5. Minnesota @ Milwaukee-MLB: 8:05 est.
Well as far as a "lock" I would nearly call this one that. Milwaukee has had its woes in the recent. Blackburn is no slouch and Minnesota owns Milwaukee this season (4-0). Mike Cameron is the only bright spot in the Brewers line-up against the Twins. Mauer, Morneau, and Joe Crede can hit so I think the Twins pile it on and win big with Blackburn getting the CG.

Vegas Odds: Twins:-119 @Brewers+109

ESPN Simulator: Minnesota 56%, Milwaukee 44%

SM reason for this prop?: I really don't know unless he thinks there is going to be an upset.

Weather: 60% precip may have delays!

6. Dallas (Win/Draw) @ Colorado (Win)-MLS: 9:30 est.
I don't know much about MLS, but from what I have seen Colorado is the heavy favorite with good momentum coming into this game. Dallas also had a good win before this this match. So a momentus home team. I'll take Colorado in a 2-1 game.

Vegas Odds: Dallas win- +360 Dallas draw-+250, Colorado win -140.

SM reason for this prop?:A momentus home team against a team coming off of a momentus victory!

7. Colorado @ Los Angeles Angels-MLB: 10:05 est.
I really think that Colorado takes this one. Marquis and Saunders are even pretty much as far as pitching matchups are concerned. But Marquis has went through games longer. He also has seemed to get more run support. Marquis is hotter lately and Rockies have went on a run lately. Very close game but Marquis and the Rocks close it out.

Vegas Odds: Colorado: +130 LAA: -140

ESPN Simulator: Colorado: 43% LAA: 57%

Weather: No significant amounts of precip. expected.

8. San Diego @ Seattle-MLB: 10:10 est.
I am not falling for the 90% curse again. I think in general the Padres are a better team. I expect them to come out and win. Both pitchers suck so expect a high one. But something just says go with San Diego. So I will.

Vegas Odds: San Diego: +132, Seattle: -142.

ESPN Simulator: Seattle: 60%, San Diego: 40%

SM reason for prop?: Two inconsistent pitchers and two evenly matched teams.

Weather: No significant precip. expected.

Good luck, Happy Streaking and God Bless everyone!!