Last day of "Battle of the Blogs", and I forgot all about it. I went into today with a 3 game lead finishing yesterday 6-4 while Zom finished a solid 5-5. It would take a near fatal collapse for me to lose but we will see. I ain't seen the Zoms picks but hope he does not have a "career day". Otherwises it looks like I might beat the Zom and his great blog at: www.bleaklookatcash.blogspot.com. A great blog for insite and info. I will just list my picks for today and tomorrow morning/afternoon.
Tiger Woods Win vs. Lee Westwood/Ryo Ishikawa-Win/Tie- Tiger Woods
Tony Martin vs. Bradley Wiggins-Tony Martin
Jim Furyk Win/Tie vs. Paddy Harrington Win-Jim Furyk Win/Tie
Hammarby vs. BK Hacken-BK Hacken
159 points or fewer vs. 160 points or more- 159 or fewer
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals- Chicago Cubs
4 hits or fewer vs. 5 hits or more- 5 hits or more
David Beckham Win/Tie vs. Landon Donovan Win-David Beckham Win/Tie
53 points or fewer vs. 54 points or more- 53 points or fewer
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics- LAA
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres- Colorado Rockies
Angel Cabrera Win/Tie vs. Paul Casey Win- PGA.
You may read this on the comment board too.
I really think that Casey takes this. I would be reluctant to go against a win/tie but lets face it it does not happen very much in PGA. Paul Casey is -2 under and Angel Cabrera is -1 under. So in essence on paper this looks like a dead heat. Not quite Paul Casey finished a respectable 7th whereas Cabrera did not even make the cut last year. The only thing that is going in Cabrera's favor is his play over the last few tournaments. Casey has either struggled or not made the cut, and Cabrera has made the cut and finished decent. I am taking Casey, and I would recommend you do so too.
Vegas Odds:
Casey 1/1 (Even)
Cabrera 2/3 (slightly favored)
SM's reason for the prop: Win/Tie looks tempting, but he realizes that these are more Casey's kind of course and that Cabrera may be the better golfer, just not on these courses.
Alberto Contador vs. Lance Armstrong- Cycling
I would go Contador. Armstrong is winning 85% of the vote due to name recognition. This is the best value as far as a morning pick. Although I will not pick it because I want to get both golf in I think that the Vegas odds say enough. 3/10 Contador vs. Armstrong 11/5. That means for those who do not know that if you bet $10 dollars and Contador wins you only get $3 back giving you $13. Whereas if you bet $5 on Armstrong you could win $11 and could end up getting $16 back. This means that Contador is favored heavily. A very favored pick. and if you are looking for one underlying reason to take Armstrong, he has been more consistent. But Contador when he has had it on he has had it on. Very iffy though at times. I still with all that said like Contador and the lower % to take the W.
Vegas odds:
Contador: 3/10 (huge favorite)
Armstrong: 11/5 ( huge underdog)
Sm's reason for this prop: Name Recognition 110%. If people didn't pick based on names then this in my opinion is a 75/25 in favor of Contador.
What will Tiger Woods shoot?
68 or lower?
69 or higher?
I would go Contador. Armstrong is winning 85% of the vote due to name recognition. This is the best value as far as a morning pick. Although I will not pick it because I want to get both golf in I think that the Vegas odds say enough. 3/10 Contador vs. Armstrong 11/5. That means for those who do not know that if you bet $10 dollars and Contador wins you only get $3 back giving you $13. Whereas if you bet $5 on Armstrong you could win $11 and could end up getting $16 back. This means that Contador is favored heavily. A very favored pick. and if you are looking for one underlying reason to take Armstrong, he has been more consistent. But Contador when he has had it on he has had it on. Very iffy though at times. I still with all that said like Contador and the lower % to take the W.
SM's reason for this prop: He realizes people will think since he had a bad day on Thursday, he will be "due" for a good day. Not True! It will be raining sideways and the last time he was here he finished a 74 second round.
FC Karnten Win or Draw vs. FC Magna Wr. Neustadt Win- Soccer
There is not a lot you can go off of since this is the first game of the season, but if those odds are true what Philz82961 put up that is pretty convincing. But even with that Vegas is on average right in my opinion about 66-75% of the time. So going with the odds all morning I am going against them here. This typically happens on here. You get a really good 3rd World country team against a really sucky or average team and the sucky/average team finds some unknown way to muster a draw. Besides the draw has won 4 of the last 5 matches on SFTC and the last to win with just the W was today and they got lucky and God only knows how they did it but they scored 2 goals in injury time. I had a 17W last segment and made my living off of these win/draw teams, and most of the time when the w/d is hot. They usually stay that way for a while. I don't know my mind might change but I still give the edge to the FC Karnten. They to are considered the best team in the Austrian Bundesliga. So with the draw in their favor I like them. But the SM must see something in this game to make him want to put it up and think that he can lure people in. Idk but the w/d is what I think.
Vegas Odds:
FC Karnten: +330
FC Magna: -133
Draw: +230
Sm's reason for prop: This is the first game of the season for either of the two of these two teams. So I think that it could go either way but draw in my opinion best option.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!!
Showing posts with label Streak for the Cash. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Streak for the Cash. Show all posts
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
SFTC-July 15th edition
Hello streakers, well myself and Zom are competing hard and are nearly at a dead lock right now. I still hold a two game lead over him, but am not in the most comfortable postition right now. We both finished 7-4-2 yesterday putting me at a 39-29-3, and Zom at 37-31-3. So as we roll through the next 2 days I hope today to lengthen my lead over Zom. A four game lead after today would be a very comfortable place to be.
Argentina vs. Britain-Womens Field Hockey.
I have heard that Argentina is undefeated and are at like -600 on odds. Whereas Britain is +145. So I'll take my chances with Argentina.
Sm's reason for prop: I believe since ESPN 360 is covering it he is wanting to get a little bit of exposure to it.
Will Mark Cavendish finish in the top three in stage 11-cycling.
I will say yes but not with nearly the comfort that I would like to. Cavendish is not a real good climber of mountains and is more of a sprinter and enjoys the level ground. So yes but would not be suprised to see this one go the other way.
Sm's reason for the prop: Cavendish is well known on SFTC and since he is as good as he is he wants people to think that he will run away with it.
Staebak W vs. Kf Tiran W/D-Soccer.
I think that after the win or draws success lately I will take it. I believe that it will be like a 1-1 game, and also vegas has Tiran favored which if you have played SFTC alot you would realize that the W/D is usually not favored.
Sm's reason for this prop: He is thinking that this will be an upset by the Staebak team, taking Tiran on the draw.
Jodie Meeks vs. Joe Alexander- NBA
I don't know the message board is split on this one, but I will take Meeks. Although they both have played against Sacremento and averaged over 20 ppg. Alexander scored 24 and Meeks 20. So I'll take Meeks but I don't think that it will be nearly as spread out as the Tyreke Evans/Brandon Jennings prop was. This one will be close.
Sm's reason for the prop: Meeks is more well known. He had 54 pts against the Vols and Joe Alexander was just a consistent player throughout his collegiate career. But in the end Meeks wins.
How many points will DeMar DeRozan have?
15 or fewer?
16 or more?
I think that this one is about the easiest one on here I think except Argentina. DeRozan averages 15 ppg. He has had 20,15,10 in his 3 games. And he is playing against the Suns. They don't play defense they haven't played defense since the days of Charles Barkley and even then it was not a necceassity to play in Phoenix. Phoenix D+ a good young player= 16 or more points.
Sm's reason for prop: Its like I usually say name recognition is everything on these props. People think that since they never heard of DeRozan in college that he must not be good. Well not the case he just played at a football school at USC. He will probably have 20 pts.
2009 Triple A allstar game who wins?:
International League
Pacific Coast League
I will go with the International League in the past they have owned the PCL about like the way that AL has owned the NL. So I think that IL gets it done once again.
SM's reason for prop: It is being televised on ESPN and they are wanting to get some more viewers for it so this is the way to do it.
Estudiantes de la Plata vs. Cruzeiro MG how many goals will be scored?
2 goals or fewer.
3 or more.
I heard that these two teams tied 0-0 there 1st game and I really don't see these two teams going off.
Sm's reason for this prop: Most people think that 3 goals is an easy task to accomplish in a game its not.
Who will have the higher total?
Jered Bayless: Pts. + Stl.
Joey Dorsey: Pts. + Rebs.
Although contrare to popular belief Dorsey is averaging 10-14 a game. Whereas Bayless is averaging 22-1. So with Rockets being a good at defense I think that they keep him to about 17. And dorsey gets a Double-Double.
Sm's reason for prop: Joey Dorsey is a better all around player. So I will go with the Rockets defense to do good with Bayless and Dorsey to get his 10-15.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!!
Argentina vs. Britain-Womens Field Hockey.
I have heard that Argentina is undefeated and are at like -600 on odds. Whereas Britain is +145. So I'll take my chances with Argentina.
Sm's reason for prop: I believe since ESPN 360 is covering it he is wanting to get a little bit of exposure to it.
Will Mark Cavendish finish in the top three in stage 11-cycling.
I will say yes but not with nearly the comfort that I would like to. Cavendish is not a real good climber of mountains and is more of a sprinter and enjoys the level ground. So yes but would not be suprised to see this one go the other way.
Sm's reason for the prop: Cavendish is well known on SFTC and since he is as good as he is he wants people to think that he will run away with it.
Staebak W vs. Kf Tiran W/D-Soccer.
I think that after the win or draws success lately I will take it. I believe that it will be like a 1-1 game, and also vegas has Tiran favored which if you have played SFTC alot you would realize that the W/D is usually not favored.
Sm's reason for this prop: He is thinking that this will be an upset by the Staebak team, taking Tiran on the draw.
Jodie Meeks vs. Joe Alexander- NBA
I don't know the message board is split on this one, but I will take Meeks. Although they both have played against Sacremento and averaged over 20 ppg. Alexander scored 24 and Meeks 20. So I'll take Meeks but I don't think that it will be nearly as spread out as the Tyreke Evans/Brandon Jennings prop was. This one will be close.
Sm's reason for the prop: Meeks is more well known. He had 54 pts against the Vols and Joe Alexander was just a consistent player throughout his collegiate career. But in the end Meeks wins.
How many points will DeMar DeRozan have?
15 or fewer?
16 or more?
I think that this one is about the easiest one on here I think except Argentina. DeRozan averages 15 ppg. He has had 20,15,10 in his 3 games. And he is playing against the Suns. They don't play defense they haven't played defense since the days of Charles Barkley and even then it was not a necceassity to play in Phoenix. Phoenix D+ a good young player= 16 or more points.
Sm's reason for prop: Its like I usually say name recognition is everything on these props. People think that since they never heard of DeRozan in college that he must not be good. Well not the case he just played at a football school at USC. He will probably have 20 pts.
2009 Triple A allstar game who wins?:
International League
Pacific Coast League
I will go with the International League in the past they have owned the PCL about like the way that AL has owned the NL. So I think that IL gets it done once again.
SM's reason for prop: It is being televised on ESPN and they are wanting to get some more viewers for it so this is the way to do it.
Estudiantes de la Plata vs. Cruzeiro MG how many goals will be scored?
2 goals or fewer.
3 or more.
I heard that these two teams tied 0-0 there 1st game and I really don't see these two teams going off.
Sm's reason for this prop: Most people think that 3 goals is an easy task to accomplish in a game its not.
Who will have the higher total?
Jered Bayless: Pts. + Stl.
Joey Dorsey: Pts. + Rebs.
Although contrare to popular belief Dorsey is averaging 10-14 a game. Whereas Bayless is averaging 22-1. So with Rockets being a good at defense I think that they keep him to about 17. And dorsey gets a Double-Double.
Sm's reason for prop: Joey Dorsey is a better all around player. So I will go with the Rockets defense to do good with Bayless and Dorsey to get his 10-15.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!!
Tuesday, July 14, 2009
SFTC- Tuesday July 14th edition
Well people I am pumped. Mark Cavendish just won in a thriller. Cycling is probably the most fun sport to watch come down to the end. Welll as far as "The Battle of the Blogs". I went 3-4 and Zombidwee went 3-4 also. Putting him at a record of 30-27-1 and me winning at a record of 32-25-1.
I will just post my picks seeing as how most of them are not on vegas and are tossups.
Mark Cavendish vs. Any other Cyclist-Mark Cavendish
Alla Kudryavtseva vs. Nicole Vaidisova- Nicole Vaidisova
Nuria Llagostera Vives vs. Masa Zec Peskiric- Nuria Llagostera Vives
Young Boys W/D vs. FC Zurich W- Young Boys W/D
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun- Connecticut Sun
69 or fewer vs. 70 or more- 69 or fewer
With team will score first- AL
Who will win- NL
How many runs will be scored in the 3rd- 1 or more runs
Which team will have more runs in the 5th- AL W/T
Who will allow fewer hits- Mariono Rivera
What will the final out of the game be?- FB or GB.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!
I will just post my picks seeing as how most of them are not on vegas and are tossups.
Mark Cavendish vs. Any other Cyclist-Mark Cavendish
Alla Kudryavtseva vs. Nicole Vaidisova- Nicole Vaidisova
Nuria Llagostera Vives vs. Masa Zec Peskiric- Nuria Llagostera Vives
Young Boys W/D vs. FC Zurich W- Young Boys W/D
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun- Connecticut Sun
69 or fewer vs. 70 or more- 69 or fewer
With team will score first- AL
Who will win- NL
How many runs will be scored in the 3rd- 1 or more runs
Which team will have more runs in the 5th- AL W/T
Who will allow fewer hits- Mariono Rivera
What will the final out of the game be?- FB or GB.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!
Monday, July 13, 2009
SFTC Monday-July 13th edition
Well I have taken a another game up on the Zom as we are at the halfway point of the "Battle of the Blogs". I am 29-21-1. While Zom finished yesterday 6-6 and is 27-23-1. So I take a 2 game lead into Monday.
Heres a rundown.
Victor Crivio vs. Denis Istomin-Tennis
I really didn't do any research on this one but I stupidly took Denis Istomin. I really felt as though he could take it but lost.
Orebo SK vs. Trelleborgs FF-Soccer
This was a game that I was going to go with the Orebo but went the losing end again.
Home Run Derby-Albert Pujols/Ryan Howard vs. Any other contestant.
I really feel as though AP will take this. There is to much in his favor. Besides the fact that this is his park and he is used to hitting homers out, he to leads the league in homers. So with AP and Ryan Howard on the board I am going to be hard pressed to go against them two.
Sm's reason for the prop: He feels as though there will be a dark horse that will take it home, like the Carlos Pena, Brandon Inge players, I do not feel as though so.
How many homers will be hit in a single round?
15 or fewer
16 or more
I will say 15 or fewer. Yeah you can bring up the Bobby Abreus' and Josh Hamiltons, but in reality I really don't see it happening. If you go past the first round I really don't see it happening. There arms will be fatigued after one round. And although Busch Stadium is not exactly a hitters park it is not like Dolphin Stadium either. So I'll take 11,12, but not 15,16. Just don't see it.
SM's reason for prop: The SM wants you to remember the BA and JH slugfest of the past. I don't see it happening though.
How many points will Blake Griffin score?
14 or fewer.
15 or more.
I think that if Adam Morrison can average 23 ppg that Griffin is atleast good for 15. He seems to be the kind of player that could fit in the NBA quickly. This is your easiest pick of the day.
SM's reason for prop: He doesn't think that since Griffin is playing against the Lakers (NBA Champs) and is just starting out that he will not have as much an impact.
How many homers will be hit in the final round?-HR Derby
5 or fewer
6 or more
I will go with 5 or fewer. Guys tend to have arm fatigue and only hit 4-5 homers. I also heard that the winner the past 6 years has only hit 6 or more once. So its pretty safe to say that whoever it is will probably on hit 3-5.
SM's reason for prop: 6 homers does not seem like alot in a hr. derby. But numbers can be deceiveing.
Who will have the higher total?
Tyreke Evans: Pts. + Ast.
Brandon Jennings: Pts. + Ast.
I think that Evans is a safe pick here. He has averaged 23 combined whereas Jennings has averaged 21 which makes it close. I still think that not playing in the D-1 level hurt him. So even though on paper it is close I think that Evans pulls it out.
Sm's reason for prop: Not alot of people have heard of Brandon Jennings since he went to the European leagues to play instead of college. But he puts up decent numbers just not as good as Tyreke Evans.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!
Heres a rundown.
Victor Crivio vs. Denis Istomin-Tennis
I really didn't do any research on this one but I stupidly took Denis Istomin. I really felt as though he could take it but lost.
Orebo SK vs. Trelleborgs FF-Soccer
This was a game that I was going to go with the Orebo but went the losing end again.
Home Run Derby-Albert Pujols/Ryan Howard vs. Any other contestant.
I really feel as though AP will take this. There is to much in his favor. Besides the fact that this is his park and he is used to hitting homers out, he to leads the league in homers. So with AP and Ryan Howard on the board I am going to be hard pressed to go against them two.
Sm's reason for the prop: He feels as though there will be a dark horse that will take it home, like the Carlos Pena, Brandon Inge players, I do not feel as though so.
How many homers will be hit in a single round?
15 or fewer
16 or more
I will say 15 or fewer. Yeah you can bring up the Bobby Abreus' and Josh Hamiltons, but in reality I really don't see it happening. If you go past the first round I really don't see it happening. There arms will be fatigued after one round. And although Busch Stadium is not exactly a hitters park it is not like Dolphin Stadium either. So I'll take 11,12, but not 15,16. Just don't see it.
SM's reason for prop: The SM wants you to remember the BA and JH slugfest of the past. I don't see it happening though.
How many points will Blake Griffin score?
14 or fewer.
15 or more.
I think that if Adam Morrison can average 23 ppg that Griffin is atleast good for 15. He seems to be the kind of player that could fit in the NBA quickly. This is your easiest pick of the day.
SM's reason for prop: He doesn't think that since Griffin is playing against the Lakers (NBA Champs) and is just starting out that he will not have as much an impact.
How many homers will be hit in the final round?-HR Derby
5 or fewer
6 or more
I will go with 5 or fewer. Guys tend to have arm fatigue and only hit 4-5 homers. I also heard that the winner the past 6 years has only hit 6 or more once. So its pretty safe to say that whoever it is will probably on hit 3-5.
SM's reason for prop: 6 homers does not seem like alot in a hr. derby. But numbers can be deceiveing.
Who will have the higher total?
Tyreke Evans: Pts. + Ast.
Brandon Jennings: Pts. + Ast.
I think that Evans is a safe pick here. He has averaged 23 combined whereas Jennings has averaged 21 which makes it close. I still think that not playing in the D-1 level hurt him. So even though on paper it is close I think that Evans pulls it out.
Sm's reason for prop: Not alot of people have heard of Brandon Jennings since he went to the European leagues to play instead of college. But he puts up decent numbers just not as good as Tyreke Evans.
Happy Streaking and God Bless!!!
Saturday, July 11, 2009
Streak for the Cash: July 11th Edition
I will go straight to my soccer pick since yesterday I already gave you my golf pick.I gained a game on him finishing the day a subpar 5-5-1. Whereas he finished 4-6-1. So for the battle thus far my record is 12-10-1 and Zom is 13-9-1.
Grasshoppers W vs. FC Aarau- Soccer.
Well this game as far as Vegas is concerned is a tossup and if it is a tossup I will always and forever go with the draw. Those guys go and tend to draw more than most teams.
Vegas Odds:
Grasshoppers: +155
FC Aarau: +190
Draw: +241
SM's reason for the prop: This is the first game of the year anything can happen especially with these odds.
Paula Creamer W/D vs. Cristie Kerr- Golf
Yesterday Paula Creamer shocked 92% of us with her magnificent 2nd round. Cristie Kerr on the other hand has faired well having a -3 going into round 3. Paula Creamers pick looks good because of the draw option.
SM's reason for the prop: Kerr has been consistent and Creamer went off yesterday and a really good round so, do you take whose hot or consistent? I'll take the hot.
Houston vs. Seattle-Soccer.
Seattle draws about every other game so the draw is really looking good at the moment. I don't know how good the Dynamo are on the road but they draw a decent amount too.
Vegas Odds:
Houston:+135
Seattle:+175
Draw:+225
SM's reason for the prop: Typically Seattle holds there own at home and Houston not so much on the road so I like the draw the SM thinks Seattle.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
I really think that the Yanks had that one under control last night until Joba let that 3 run jack go and it cost them momentum. With Jared Weaver on the mound with a 9-3 3.15 ERA. I like the Angels to pull out another game. Andy Pettite is shown signs of aging even with his respectable 8-4 4.53 ERA I really like him but just not against Jared Weaver at home.
Accurscore:
NYY:42%
LAA:58%
Vegas Odds:
NYY:-114
LAA: -106
Sheridans odds: NYY 11:10
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystic-WNBA
I understand that last night both road teams won pretty heavily i like the Mystic. I don't understand all the hoopla about Candace Parker. She is coming back after maternity leave. I mean that is why 90% of people are taking them. Take the Mystic.
Sheridan Odds:
Wash.: -3
LA:+3
Sm's reason for the prop: He realizes the masses will take the Sparks because of Candace Parker's name recognition. I like th odds.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins-MLB
This is one you don't see to often. Two pitchers who pitched there last game against the same team. Gavin Floyd pitched against the Royals and lost going 5.1 and giving up 5 ER. Whereas Glen Perkins pitched 7 innings of 1 run baseball. So with that said the Twins hit better and seem to have the better pitcher although the stats say its a pretty even pitching matchup.
Accurscore:
MIN: 60%
CHW:40%
Vegas Odds:
MIN:-120
CHW:Even
Sheridans Odds: MIN 6:5
SM's reason for prop: Two evenly matched pitchers and two decent hitting teams.
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty-WNBA
I really like the Liberty here. They already beat the Dream once this season. They are at home and although score the fewest points in the WNBA, they have had success scoring against the Dream averaging 83 ppg.
Sheridans Odds:
NY: -4
ATL: +4
Sm's reason for the prop: He is expecting the Dream to get revenge. I just don't see it happening.
Matt Grice vs. Shannon Gugerty: MMA
Love this stuff. I really don't like this matchup. Although percentages have Gugerty at a heavily favored odds I still think that Grice could pull it off. From what I have read this is a complete deadlock as far as Vegas Odds. I still think that Gugerty pulls it out but not comfortable enough to pick it. Besides that it has the 90% curse and Rambo will probably jack this up.
Vegas Odds: The lines have moved but I still like it to be close
MG: +125
SG:-155
Sm's reason for the prop: He likes everybody to jump on SG's bandwagon and watch it collapse. I would not at all doubt it happening.
Kyle Busch vs. Tony Stewart- NASCAR
I will take Stewart on this one. Kyle Busch won this event last year and all but Tony Stewart has 6 straight top ten finishes. I really like the idea of his getting a seventh the only question is where will Busch get?
SM's reason for prop: Busch runs traditionally better at this track but Stewart is on a tear.
Columbus W/D vs. Chicago W-MLS
I like the Crew to W/D in this one. With the draw it gives more of an advantage.
Vegas Odds:
Columbus W/D:-192
Chicago:+110
SM's reason for prop: Expecting an upset by the Fire.
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies-MLB
Although Jurrgens has a lower ERA I still like the Rockies with Marquis to win it. I have heard of "Mile High Magic" which is why they have a decent home record. I really like there bats also so I'll take the Rockies.
Accuscore:
ATL:40%
COL60%
Vegas Odds:
ATL:+107
COL:-117
SM's reason for prop: Jurrgens has a low ERA and thinks he can hold the Rocks bats down and thinks that Marquis may get fits from the Braves.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Sacremento Monarchs-WNBA
This is alot tighter than %'s show. These two teams have split the season series thus far and I still even with the lopsided %'s like the Mercury to pull it out. PHO has played better lately and the Monarchs uh not so much. I like the Mercury to pull this one out.
Sheridans Odds: Sacremento -1
Phoenix: +1
Sm's reason for prop: Looking at records tells the tale of the lopsided %'s. He likes the Monarchs i don't.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners-MLB
I like the Rangers in this. Although we have two decent pitchers they both have had there rough streches this year and currently Kevin Millwood is on his. I think the Mariners choke like usual on SFTC and Rangers get the W.
Vegas Odds:
TEX:EVEN
SEA: -110
SM's reason for prop: Everybody most likely will jump on the Rangers bandwagon and he thinks that Washburn pitches well enough to get the W.
Dan Henderson vs. Michael Bisping- MMA
Everything that I have read shows that Henderson is the clear favorite. That scares me because everything on here is no gimme. But Henderson is favored and I like the idea of him winning.
Vegas Odds:
DH:-260
MB:+200
Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir-MMA
This is the fight that I really want to see. Lesnar is favored the other day according to Danny Sheridan by a 2:1 favor. Pretty heavily favored by him especially. I think Lesnar handles business well and gets the W.
Vegas Odds:
BL:-255
FM:+195
Happy Streaking and I hope all enjoy the MMA bouts they are exciting. God Bless!!!
Grasshoppers W vs. FC Aarau- Soccer.
Well this game as far as Vegas is concerned is a tossup and if it is a tossup I will always and forever go with the draw. Those guys go and tend to draw more than most teams.
Vegas Odds:
Grasshoppers: +155
FC Aarau: +190
Draw: +241
SM's reason for the prop: This is the first game of the year anything can happen especially with these odds.
Paula Creamer W/D vs. Cristie Kerr- Golf
Yesterday Paula Creamer shocked 92% of us with her magnificent 2nd round. Cristie Kerr on the other hand has faired well having a -3 going into round 3. Paula Creamers pick looks good because of the draw option.
SM's reason for the prop: Kerr has been consistent and Creamer went off yesterday and a really good round so, do you take whose hot or consistent? I'll take the hot.
Houston vs. Seattle-Soccer.
Seattle draws about every other game so the draw is really looking good at the moment. I don't know how good the Dynamo are on the road but they draw a decent amount too.
Vegas Odds:
Houston:+135
Seattle:+175
Draw:+225
SM's reason for the prop: Typically Seattle holds there own at home and Houston not so much on the road so I like the draw the SM thinks Seattle.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
I really think that the Yanks had that one under control last night until Joba let that 3 run jack go and it cost them momentum. With Jared Weaver on the mound with a 9-3 3.15 ERA. I like the Angels to pull out another game. Andy Pettite is shown signs of aging even with his respectable 8-4 4.53 ERA I really like him but just not against Jared Weaver at home.
Accurscore:
NYY:42%
LAA:58%
Vegas Odds:
NYY:-114
LAA: -106
Sheridans odds: NYY 11:10
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystic-WNBA
I understand that last night both road teams won pretty heavily i like the Mystic. I don't understand all the hoopla about Candace Parker. She is coming back after maternity leave. I mean that is why 90% of people are taking them. Take the Mystic.
Sheridan Odds:
Wash.: -3
LA:+3
Sm's reason for the prop: He realizes the masses will take the Sparks because of Candace Parker's name recognition. I like th odds.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins-MLB
This is one you don't see to often. Two pitchers who pitched there last game against the same team. Gavin Floyd pitched against the Royals and lost going 5.1 and giving up 5 ER. Whereas Glen Perkins pitched 7 innings of 1 run baseball. So with that said the Twins hit better and seem to have the better pitcher although the stats say its a pretty even pitching matchup.
Accurscore:
MIN: 60%
CHW:40%
Vegas Odds:
MIN:-120
CHW:Even
Sheridans Odds: MIN 6:5
SM's reason for prop: Two evenly matched pitchers and two decent hitting teams.
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty-WNBA
I really like the Liberty here. They already beat the Dream once this season. They are at home and although score the fewest points in the WNBA, they have had success scoring against the Dream averaging 83 ppg.
Sheridans Odds:
NY: -4
ATL: +4
Sm's reason for the prop: He is expecting the Dream to get revenge. I just don't see it happening.
Matt Grice vs. Shannon Gugerty: MMA
Love this stuff. I really don't like this matchup. Although percentages have Gugerty at a heavily favored odds I still think that Grice could pull it off. From what I have read this is a complete deadlock as far as Vegas Odds. I still think that Gugerty pulls it out but not comfortable enough to pick it. Besides that it has the 90% curse and Rambo will probably jack this up.
Vegas Odds: The lines have moved but I still like it to be close
MG: +125
SG:-155
Sm's reason for the prop: He likes everybody to jump on SG's bandwagon and watch it collapse. I would not at all doubt it happening.
Kyle Busch vs. Tony Stewart- NASCAR
I will take Stewart on this one. Kyle Busch won this event last year and all but Tony Stewart has 6 straight top ten finishes. I really like the idea of his getting a seventh the only question is where will Busch get?
SM's reason for prop: Busch runs traditionally better at this track but Stewart is on a tear.
Columbus W/D vs. Chicago W-MLS
I like the Crew to W/D in this one. With the draw it gives more of an advantage.
Vegas Odds:
Columbus W/D:-192
Chicago:+110
SM's reason for prop: Expecting an upset by the Fire.
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies-MLB
Although Jurrgens has a lower ERA I still like the Rockies with Marquis to win it. I have heard of "Mile High Magic" which is why they have a decent home record. I really like there bats also so I'll take the Rockies.
Accuscore:
ATL:40%
COL60%
Vegas Odds:
ATL:+107
COL:-117
SM's reason for prop: Jurrgens has a low ERA and thinks he can hold the Rocks bats down and thinks that Marquis may get fits from the Braves.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Sacremento Monarchs-WNBA
This is alot tighter than %'s show. These two teams have split the season series thus far and I still even with the lopsided %'s like the Mercury to pull it out. PHO has played better lately and the Monarchs uh not so much. I like the Mercury to pull this one out.
Sheridans Odds: Sacremento -1
Phoenix: +1
Sm's reason for prop: Looking at records tells the tale of the lopsided %'s. He likes the Monarchs i don't.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners-MLB
I like the Rangers in this. Although we have two decent pitchers they both have had there rough streches this year and currently Kevin Millwood is on his. I think the Mariners choke like usual on SFTC and Rangers get the W.
Vegas Odds:
TEX:EVEN
SEA: -110
SM's reason for prop: Everybody most likely will jump on the Rangers bandwagon and he thinks that Washburn pitches well enough to get the W.
Dan Henderson vs. Michael Bisping- MMA
Everything that I have read shows that Henderson is the clear favorite. That scares me because everything on here is no gimme. But Henderson is favored and I like the idea of him winning.
Vegas Odds:
DH:-260
MB:+200
Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir-MMA
This is the fight that I really want to see. Lesnar is favored the other day according to Danny Sheridan by a 2:1 favor. Pretty heavily favored by him especially. I think Lesnar handles business well and gets the W.
Vegas Odds:
BL:-255
FM:+195
Happy Streaking and I hope all enjoy the MMA bouts they are exciting. God Bless!!!
Friday, July 10, 2009
Streak for the Cash: July 10th
Hello Streakers. Well Zombidwee has a slight edge over me after a late inning rally by the Marlins gave me 7/12 wins on the day and Zom 9/12 wins on the day.
Mark Calcavecchia vs. Woody Austin/tie- Golf-Lower front nine prop.
Although Calcavecchia had a better first round, I think that Austin and him tie second. Calcavecchia has been known to get off to hot starts and die down. Whereas Austin has started slower and gained momentum throughout tournaments.
SM's reason for this prop: Calcavecchia looked better yesterday and seemed to play better, but he has been known to fade and Austin has been known to comeback and play better.
Lorena Ochoa vs. Paula Creamer-LPGA-Lower 2nd Round.
Although I think that Ochoa wins this the thing that scares me is that she is not done very good on the back nine at this tournament. Whereas Paula Creamer has. I still thing Ochoa is better and wins this. But beware of the back nine where she struggled yesterday. I really don't even see this being a tie.
Sm's reason for the prop: I can only see that Ochoa struggled on the back nine and expects Paula Creamer to take advantage of it. After all she did double bogey yesterday and without that and a few more pars she would have been tied with her. Just don't see it happening.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs-MLB
Although reports have Chris Carpenter and Brad Thompson starting I think that Carpenter starts from all signs he is but that is just some food for thought. I mean if Thompson does start I still don't see Rich Harden being over powerful anyways. I maybe inclined to take this one if Carpenter pitches but probably will not with the Cubs reputation on SFTC. I most likely will take Ochoa.
Accuscore:
Cards:63%
Cubs:37%
Sheridans Odds: Cards 13:10
Vegas Odds:
Cards: -136
Cubs:+116
Pick slot: I would risk between a 7-10 on this. Not much more because this is a tight knit rivalry and in most instances ought to be left alone. I personally wount take it because its a game involving the Cubs. :)
Sm's reason for the prop: Cubs/Cards always a great rivalry. The Cards lead the season series and it should be a close one.
Galway United vs. St. Patricks-Soccer
Well the St. Patricks team is coming off a 1-0 win over Cork on Tuesday. These two teams are evenly matched up. Galway is 3-2-4 (W-L-D) on the road and 8th in there league and St. Pat is 3-2-4 (W-L-D) on the road. So from the way it looks it will be a tight one and in all tight soccer games I always take the draw option.
Sm's reason for the props: Both teams are decent with both there respectable home and away soccer records. Same identical records should be good.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles-MLB
Well this one should be high scoring I will say that. The thing is you look at both pitchers an naturally think that since Brett Cecil has gotten two wins he is better. Not the case these are two high ERA pitchers. Jason Berken has a 6.25 ERA and Cecil a 6.23 ERA. So no real difference except that Cecil gets run support and Berken doesn't. With the Jays coming off a slightly demoralizing loss. Even though it was only by one they had ample oppurtunity to take David Price out early and often and the rookie left hander look like Roger Clemens in his prime. There bats have not been nearly as hot. But on the other hand the Orioles have a very underrated hitting line-up. Starting with Markakis and Huff and Roberts and Scott the list goes on. I think the O's win just because of timely hitting and home field advantage.
Accuscore:
O's-57%
Jays-43%
Sheridans Odds: Toronto 11:10
Vegas Odds:
Jays:-115
O's:-105
Pick slot: Would not take this one with more than a 2-4 gamer.
SM's reason for prop: Everybody thinks the O's really suck which is not the case, and are playing better than the Jays at the moment.
Cincinatti Reds vs. New York Mets-MLB
I never pick a game on SFTC involving the Mets. They are almost as bad as the Cubs at choking or somehow coming back to win. But I will give insight. The Mets put Fernando Nieve on the mound tonight and sport a decent home stand as of late. Nieve has lost his last 2 starts (because of run support). Bronson Arroyo is having a struggling year, and he is coming off of a 5 inning 5 earned runs game against the Cardinals. Reds can put runs on the board but not as much lately. Nieve's ERA I think is in fine tune and I like the Mets.
Accurscore:
Reds:45%
Mets:55%
Sheridans Odds: NYM 13:10
Vegas Odds:
NYM: +110
CIN: -120
Pick slot: No more than a 1-3 gamer.
SM's reason for prop: Because as well as us know that the Mets suck on SFTC. They can't hardly do anything right and he is hoping that people pick the Reds on this one and hoping for a rarity that the Mets win on SFTC.
San Antonio Silver Stars vs. Minnesota Lynx-WNBA
Well the home team has won a majority of games, but not this one. Minnesota is coming off a demoralizing loss to the Sacremento Monarchs whom are one of the worst teams in the league. They exposed the inside as well as what the Silver Stars will do. Without their leading scorer Seimone Augustus they are really exposed in the middle. With them winning 4 of 6. They seem to be doing just fine without her, until they played the Monarchs.
Sheridans Odds:
Minnesota: -3
SA:+3
Sm's reason for this prop: Records show Minnesota and Seimone Augustus shows a weak defense in the middle. SA takes it.
Brad Keselkowski vs. Joey Lagono- Who will have the better finish-NASCAR
Well most would say that I am crazy but I am taking Kesellowski. Why you ask? Because even with Lagono and all his good finishes has not raced here at Chicago. Keselkowski finished 3rd last year. So I'll take the experience over the youth young gun.
SM's reason for this prop: Name recognition, Joey Lagono's got it and Keselkowski doesn't.
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky-WNBA
This is a close one. Not nearly as deserving of a 98% as people are giving it to Indiana. The Fever look like they are in control. I still like them to win especially due to the fact that Chicago has lost 3 straight.
Danny Sheridans Odds:
Indiana:-3.5
Chicago:+3.5
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
I like Joba to get the job done in this one. Mainly because Joe Saunders is struggled his last few outings. Including a ERA over 7. Then you look how the Yankees have played decent against the Angels this year. I think the Yanks get the job done.
Accuscore:
NYY:48%
LAA:52%
Sheridans Odds: NYY 13:10
Vegas Odds:
NYY:-135
LAA+115
Pick slot: No more than a 5-7 gamer.
SM's reason for the prop: Joba's inconsistency hurts here, but Saunders has been the one inconsistent lately.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners-MLB
Well the Mariners are a new inductee into the "teams not to pick on SFTC". They always screw your streak up. With that said. I like the Rangers. Feldman is 7-2 with a 3.91 ERA (about average). His counterpart is Brandon Morrow who is 0-3 with a 5.05 ERA. Although it may look like a clear advantage to the Rangers in pitching both guys have done really good as of late. Hitting is the key problem I can see and the hitting really favors the bat savvy Rangers, Seattle not so much.
Accurscore:
TEX:51%
SEA:49%
Sheridans Odds: Texas 6:5
Vegas Odds:
TEX:-128
SEA:+108
Pick slot: Wouldn't risk a losing streak on this one (LOL). No more than a meager winning streak.
SM's reason for prop: The Rangers are considerably better but look as though SEA may get the upset.
God Bless and Happy Streaking.
Mark Calcavecchia vs. Woody Austin/tie- Golf-Lower front nine prop.
Although Calcavecchia had a better first round, I think that Austin and him tie second. Calcavecchia has been known to get off to hot starts and die down. Whereas Austin has started slower and gained momentum throughout tournaments.
SM's reason for this prop: Calcavecchia looked better yesterday and seemed to play better, but he has been known to fade and Austin has been known to comeback and play better.
Lorena Ochoa vs. Paula Creamer-LPGA-Lower 2nd Round.
Although I think that Ochoa wins this the thing that scares me is that she is not done very good on the back nine at this tournament. Whereas Paula Creamer has. I still thing Ochoa is better and wins this. But beware of the back nine where she struggled yesterday. I really don't even see this being a tie.
Sm's reason for the prop: I can only see that Ochoa struggled on the back nine and expects Paula Creamer to take advantage of it. After all she did double bogey yesterday and without that and a few more pars she would have been tied with her. Just don't see it happening.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs-MLB
Although reports have Chris Carpenter and Brad Thompson starting I think that Carpenter starts from all signs he is but that is just some food for thought. I mean if Thompson does start I still don't see Rich Harden being over powerful anyways. I maybe inclined to take this one if Carpenter pitches but probably will not with the Cubs reputation on SFTC. I most likely will take Ochoa.
Accuscore:
Cards:63%
Cubs:37%
Sheridans Odds: Cards 13:10
Vegas Odds:
Cards: -136
Cubs:+116
Pick slot: I would risk between a 7-10 on this. Not much more because this is a tight knit rivalry and in most instances ought to be left alone. I personally wount take it because its a game involving the Cubs. :)
Sm's reason for the prop: Cubs/Cards always a great rivalry. The Cards lead the season series and it should be a close one.
Galway United vs. St. Patricks-Soccer
Well the St. Patricks team is coming off a 1-0 win over Cork on Tuesday. These two teams are evenly matched up. Galway is 3-2-4 (W-L-D) on the road and 8th in there league and St. Pat is 3-2-4 (W-L-D) on the road. So from the way it looks it will be a tight one and in all tight soccer games I always take the draw option.
Sm's reason for the props: Both teams are decent with both there respectable home and away soccer records. Same identical records should be good.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles-MLB
Well this one should be high scoring I will say that. The thing is you look at both pitchers an naturally think that since Brett Cecil has gotten two wins he is better. Not the case these are two high ERA pitchers. Jason Berken has a 6.25 ERA and Cecil a 6.23 ERA. So no real difference except that Cecil gets run support and Berken doesn't. With the Jays coming off a slightly demoralizing loss. Even though it was only by one they had ample oppurtunity to take David Price out early and often and the rookie left hander look like Roger Clemens in his prime. There bats have not been nearly as hot. But on the other hand the Orioles have a very underrated hitting line-up. Starting with Markakis and Huff and Roberts and Scott the list goes on. I think the O's win just because of timely hitting and home field advantage.
Accuscore:
O's-57%
Jays-43%
Sheridans Odds: Toronto 11:10
Vegas Odds:
Jays:-115
O's:-105
Pick slot: Would not take this one with more than a 2-4 gamer.
SM's reason for prop: Everybody thinks the O's really suck which is not the case, and are playing better than the Jays at the moment.
Cincinatti Reds vs. New York Mets-MLB
I never pick a game on SFTC involving the Mets. They are almost as bad as the Cubs at choking or somehow coming back to win. But I will give insight. The Mets put Fernando Nieve on the mound tonight and sport a decent home stand as of late. Nieve has lost his last 2 starts (because of run support). Bronson Arroyo is having a struggling year, and he is coming off of a 5 inning 5 earned runs game against the Cardinals. Reds can put runs on the board but not as much lately. Nieve's ERA I think is in fine tune and I like the Mets.
Accurscore:
Reds:45%
Mets:55%
Sheridans Odds: NYM 13:10
Vegas Odds:
NYM: +110
CIN: -120
Pick slot: No more than a 1-3 gamer.
SM's reason for prop: Because as well as us know that the Mets suck on SFTC. They can't hardly do anything right and he is hoping that people pick the Reds on this one and hoping for a rarity that the Mets win on SFTC.
San Antonio Silver Stars vs. Minnesota Lynx-WNBA
Well the home team has won a majority of games, but not this one. Minnesota is coming off a demoralizing loss to the Sacremento Monarchs whom are one of the worst teams in the league. They exposed the inside as well as what the Silver Stars will do. Without their leading scorer Seimone Augustus they are really exposed in the middle. With them winning 4 of 6. They seem to be doing just fine without her, until they played the Monarchs.
Sheridans Odds:
Minnesota: -3
SA:+3
Sm's reason for this prop: Records show Minnesota and Seimone Augustus shows a weak defense in the middle. SA takes it.
Brad Keselkowski vs. Joey Lagono- Who will have the better finish-NASCAR
Well most would say that I am crazy but I am taking Kesellowski. Why you ask? Because even with Lagono and all his good finishes has not raced here at Chicago. Keselkowski finished 3rd last year. So I'll take the experience over the youth young gun.
SM's reason for this prop: Name recognition, Joey Lagono's got it and Keselkowski doesn't.
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky-WNBA
This is a close one. Not nearly as deserving of a 98% as people are giving it to Indiana. The Fever look like they are in control. I still like them to win especially due to the fact that Chicago has lost 3 straight.
Danny Sheridans Odds:
Indiana:-3.5
Chicago:+3.5
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
I like Joba to get the job done in this one. Mainly because Joe Saunders is struggled his last few outings. Including a ERA over 7. Then you look how the Yankees have played decent against the Angels this year. I think the Yanks get the job done.
Accuscore:
NYY:48%
LAA:52%
Sheridans Odds: NYY 13:10
Vegas Odds:
NYY:-135
LAA+115
Pick slot: No more than a 5-7 gamer.
SM's reason for the prop: Joba's inconsistency hurts here, but Saunders has been the one inconsistent lately.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners-MLB
Well the Mariners are a new inductee into the "teams not to pick on SFTC". They always screw your streak up. With that said. I like the Rangers. Feldman is 7-2 with a 3.91 ERA (about average). His counterpart is Brandon Morrow who is 0-3 with a 5.05 ERA. Although it may look like a clear advantage to the Rangers in pitching both guys have done really good as of late. Hitting is the key problem I can see and the hitting really favors the bat savvy Rangers, Seattle not so much.
Accurscore:
TEX:51%
SEA:49%
Sheridans Odds: Texas 6:5
Vegas Odds:
TEX:-128
SEA:+108
Pick slot: Wouldn't risk a losing streak on this one (LOL). No more than a meager winning streak.
SM's reason for prop: The Rangers are considerably better but look as though SEA may get the upset.
God Bless and Happy Streaking.
Sunday, July 5, 2009
SFTC Monday Edition-July 6th
Hello fellow streakers. I hope all had a great Independence Day and I like pappaschu on the Choker Nation comment board did thank all troops who have served or are actively serving. I to would like to give my condolences to the McNair family for all of their grief. Its really too bad that Steve's legacy will from now on be tarnished due to his apparent cheating. I deeply sympathize for his wife and sons. God Bless!!!
Well today (or tomorrow at this time) I will give you my picks. Since the SM uncharacteristically only put 7 which reminds me of old times during the second segment will give you the break down on all matchups.
Kalmar FF/draw vs. Malmo FF-Soccer
Well after reviewing this I will take Kalmar for the draw. Malmo is tenth in their league at home at 2-4-0 (W-D-L). Whereas Kalmar is 1-3-2 (W-D-L) on the road. Although Vegas has the Malmo team a slight favorite, I will say draw. Today with BK Hacken and Gelfe the odds just barely favored Gelfe whom only had the win option. Well sure enough it was a draw. So my new strategy for close vegas odds are to go with the Draw. I like a 1-1 since this game is pretty heavily favored to stay under 2.5 goals.
Vegas Odds:
Kalmar FF: +230
Malmo FF: +110
Draw: +230
Sm's reason for prop: the Malmo team has a slight advantage in vegas and SM thinks they win. Most of these close Vegas games go draw I don't think that it changes here
Blue Jays vs. Yankees- MLB: How many home runs will be hit?
Well looking at the Yankees I really don't think that they will get as many oppurtunities as people think but I think it will go more that 4. For a few reasons for one Andy Pettite is know for letting people hit fly balls, and in Yankees Stadium a fly ball is a home run as simple as that. And the Jays I think get 2-3 homers and I will say that the Yanks going against the less of the two flyball pitchers who relies on groundballs will get 1-2. I'll go out on a limb and say 5 homers hit.
SM's reason for prop: 4 homers seem like alot in one game, but not in Yankee Stadium he wants people to bite on 3 or less and then burn them.
Atlanta vs. Chicago-MLB
Well SFTC has not been nice to good pitchers lately. Case in point Felix Hernandez, Roy Halladay. Yeah all guys who on paper look like they will have good games. Wells and Jurrjens don't neccesarily have the best records but they do have really good ERA's. I don't know my heart says Jurrjens and the Braves though. They traditionally are good on SFTC and although they lost to the Nationals on there the other day they have shown good potential and will be even better with Jurrjens on the mound.
Vegas Odds:
Atlanta:+105
Chicago:-125
SM's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers and two good offenses should be a barn-burner ( Ha Ha if you get it).
Cincinatti vs. Philadelphia-MLB
Well Cincy's O has been effective at times this year but pitching has been less impressive. Philly with Cole Hamels on the mound will be able to slow down that department. Even though he has struggled before I don't see it happening this time. Johnny Cueto has been good, but I don't know with him. I have never seen him pitch so its kinda hard to see his tendencys. I like the idea of the Phils pulling it out but not with a lot of comfort. High %'s have not done real good as of late and Cincy is alot better than given credit for.
Vegas Odds:
Cincy: +135
Philly: -155
SM's reason for the prop: He likes Cueto and the Reds in this one. Reds are typically good on SFTC but in the case of Philly the sun shines on the dogs behind every once in a while.
Pittsburgh vs. Houston- MLB
I will take the Pirates. They are going up against Mike Hampton whom I always have found very streaky, which I believe is the reason that he has played with so many teams throughout his career. Vasquez has a 1-1 3.00 ERA which in my book is good enough to get the W in this matchup. And if you are supersticious on SFTC the Pirates can't lose on there they are like 5-0.
Vegas Odds:
Pitt:+140
Hou: -160
SM's reason for the prop: He likes the idea of the Pirates to keep their SFTC reputation up. They also have a good young pitcher on their team.
San Diego vs. Arizona-MLB
I will take Arizona Jon Garland seems to be pitching pretty good and this Silva guy has a 8.8 ERA which would scare me away definitely. There's no preview or much out on this game but I like the D-Backs.
Vegas Odds:
SD:+150
Ari:-170
SM's reason for the prop: He thinks upset. D-Backs have a reputation as being choke artists on SFTC, nowhere near the choke artist that the Cubs are in any league may I remind you.
Texas vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
Texas has been known to be streak busters. What I mean is they frequent SFTC and bust peoples streaks. Kevin Millwood is on the mound with a 2.8 ERA and I'll take him over Jered Weaver with a 3.10 ERA. With that said in my opinion Texas has a better hitting team and that is why they win.
Vegas Odds:
Tex:+125
LAA:-145
SM's reason for prop: Texas and their streak busting mentality. I think that they upset the Angels.
Thanks for viewing and please leave anything that you would like me to do different with the blog as either a message here or in the SFTC group: Choker Nation. http://streak.espn.go.com/group?groupID=153185&selGrp=153185
God Bless your week and familyA!!!
Well today (or tomorrow at this time) I will give you my picks. Since the SM uncharacteristically only put 7 which reminds me of old times during the second segment will give you the break down on all matchups.
Kalmar FF/draw vs. Malmo FF-Soccer
Well after reviewing this I will take Kalmar for the draw. Malmo is tenth in their league at home at 2-4-0 (W-D-L). Whereas Kalmar is 1-3-2 (W-D-L) on the road. Although Vegas has the Malmo team a slight favorite, I will say draw. Today with BK Hacken and Gelfe the odds just barely favored Gelfe whom only had the win option. Well sure enough it was a draw. So my new strategy for close vegas odds are to go with the Draw. I like a 1-1 since this game is pretty heavily favored to stay under 2.5 goals.
Vegas Odds:
Kalmar FF: +230
Malmo FF: +110
Draw: +230
Sm's reason for prop: the Malmo team has a slight advantage in vegas and SM thinks they win. Most of these close Vegas games go draw I don't think that it changes here
Blue Jays vs. Yankees- MLB: How many home runs will be hit?
Well looking at the Yankees I really don't think that they will get as many oppurtunities as people think but I think it will go more that 4. For a few reasons for one Andy Pettite is know for letting people hit fly balls, and in Yankees Stadium a fly ball is a home run as simple as that. And the Jays I think get 2-3 homers and I will say that the Yanks going against the less of the two flyball pitchers who relies on groundballs will get 1-2. I'll go out on a limb and say 5 homers hit.
SM's reason for prop: 4 homers seem like alot in one game, but not in Yankee Stadium he wants people to bite on 3 or less and then burn them.
Atlanta vs. Chicago-MLB
Well SFTC has not been nice to good pitchers lately. Case in point Felix Hernandez, Roy Halladay. Yeah all guys who on paper look like they will have good games. Wells and Jurrjens don't neccesarily have the best records but they do have really good ERA's. I don't know my heart says Jurrjens and the Braves though. They traditionally are good on SFTC and although they lost to the Nationals on there the other day they have shown good potential and will be even better with Jurrjens on the mound.
Vegas Odds:
Atlanta:+105
Chicago:-125
SM's reason for the prop: Two good pitchers and two good offenses should be a barn-burner ( Ha Ha if you get it).
Cincinatti vs. Philadelphia-MLB
Well Cincy's O has been effective at times this year but pitching has been less impressive. Philly with Cole Hamels on the mound will be able to slow down that department. Even though he has struggled before I don't see it happening this time. Johnny Cueto has been good, but I don't know with him. I have never seen him pitch so its kinda hard to see his tendencys. I like the idea of the Phils pulling it out but not with a lot of comfort. High %'s have not done real good as of late and Cincy is alot better than given credit for.
Vegas Odds:
Cincy: +135
Philly: -155
SM's reason for the prop: He likes Cueto and the Reds in this one. Reds are typically good on SFTC but in the case of Philly the sun shines on the dogs behind every once in a while.
Pittsburgh vs. Houston- MLB
I will take the Pirates. They are going up against Mike Hampton whom I always have found very streaky, which I believe is the reason that he has played with so many teams throughout his career. Vasquez has a 1-1 3.00 ERA which in my book is good enough to get the W in this matchup. And if you are supersticious on SFTC the Pirates can't lose on there they are like 5-0.
Vegas Odds:
Pitt:+140
Hou: -160
SM's reason for the prop: He likes the idea of the Pirates to keep their SFTC reputation up. They also have a good young pitcher on their team.
San Diego vs. Arizona-MLB
I will take Arizona Jon Garland seems to be pitching pretty good and this Silva guy has a 8.8 ERA which would scare me away definitely. There's no preview or much out on this game but I like the D-Backs.
Vegas Odds:
SD:+150
Ari:-170
SM's reason for the prop: He thinks upset. D-Backs have a reputation as being choke artists on SFTC, nowhere near the choke artist that the Cubs are in any league may I remind you.
Texas vs. Los Angeles Angels-MLB
Texas has been known to be streak busters. What I mean is they frequent SFTC and bust peoples streaks. Kevin Millwood is on the mound with a 2.8 ERA and I'll take him over Jered Weaver with a 3.10 ERA. With that said in my opinion Texas has a better hitting team and that is why they win.
Vegas Odds:
Tex:+125
LAA:-145
SM's reason for prop: Texas and their streak busting mentality. I think that they upset the Angels.
Thanks for viewing and please leave anything that you would like me to do different with the blog as either a message here or in the SFTC group: Choker Nation. http://streak.espn.go.com/group?groupID=153185&selGrp=153185
God Bless your week and familyA!!!
Tuesday, June 30, 2009
Streaking This Evening
Hello peeps. I have been away for awhile and no access to internet ,but i am back. And ready to give you insight on night matchups.
Poker-Will the winner have a bracelet?
Yes/ No.
I will say no. I don't know a whole lot about this pick, but I know enough not to pick it because it could be time consuming taking up to 6 hrs.
Minnesota vs. Atlanta-WNBA
I will take the Dream. Although %'s would say go with the Lynx. Not buying it. On SFTC and in the WNBA generally a rule of thumb to go by is take the home team. I am sticking to the strategy with this one. The Lynx are also without their leading scorer Seimone Augustus. So I'll take the Dream.
Vegas Odds:
Minnesota-+4
Atlanta--4
SM's reason for prop: Simply he wants you to look at the club records Minnesota 6-3 and ATL at 4-5 and give the clear cut advantage to the better team.
Philly vs. Atlanta-MLB
I will take the Braves in this one. Although Joe Blanton has been pitching better on the road. Derek Lowe has owned the Phils career 5-0 againt them. Also this season ATL is 4-2 against the Phils.
ATL:-175
PHI-+155
Sm's reason for prop: A good road team against a decent teams ace and a division rival. Should be a close one that comes down to the last few innings making it a nailbiter.
Chicago vs. Pittsburgh- MLB
I'll take the Cubs, but not to easy about. You might say that the Pirates are owned by the Cubs, but even with Ted Lilly's decent record he has struggled lately on the flipside Ohlendorf has never faced the Cubs. Although the Cubs have streaky bats and could not show up tonight I will say Cubs win.
CHC--125
PITT-+115
SM's reason for prop: He is predicting an upset. And hoping that Ohlendorf has a good first outing against the Cubs. I may just happen, but I don't see it.
Tampa Bay vs. Toronto- MLB
I don't know which way this will go. Matt Garza has had success against the Jays but he has not got the best of run support. He only career allows 1.99 ERA against them. But in my opinion the Jays have one of the most underated hitting orders in the majors. I will go upset special here, but it could go either way.
Vegas Odds:
TAM: -121
TOR:+111
SM's reason for prop: This Toronto team can score in a hurry. Richmond is a underrated pitcher and has shown good promise. These two teams also are matched up pretty evenly.
Johan Santana: Pitches thrown-MLB
I don't really like these props but I did a little research on it. On average Johan throws about 101 pitches a game. The thing is this # goes up and down. In other words he could pitch 125 or 85. I also looked at the Brewers hitting. They are good hitters. They can hurt pitchers with their hitting. I will say under for that reason.
LAA vs. Texas Rangers- MLB
Two good pitchers on the mound. Danny Feldman and Joe Saunders. I will take the Angels. There are those teams on SFTC that just seem to do good and the Angels are one. Texas has faired well against the Angels ( 3-1 this year). I still like the Angels to get the job done in Texas.
LAA:-101
Tex:-109
Sm's reason for prop: Two good pitchers and a good two good hitting staffs and the best two teams in the AL West. Should be good even Vegas thinks so.
Minnesota vs. Kansas City-MLB
This is alot closer than %'s show. The Twins have not had as much success against the Royals as everyone else. Scott Baker has struggled this season, and I have seen Bannister pitch against the Card's a potent offense and saw what he did against them giving up only one run. I will give the edge to the Royals. Playing at Kaufmann and having the success against the Twins like they have.
Min:-143
KC-+133
Detroit vs. Oakland-MLB
Last night the A's shocked us all. I don't think that they do it again. Galarraga will probably give up runs but I don't know if he gives up as many as Gio Gonzalez. Both pitchers have higher than average ERA's, but I think that the Tigers get out with this one.
Det:-112
Oak:+102
SM's reason for this prop: The A's can hit, two bad pitchers that could give up alot of runs.
How many runs will be scored before the fifth.
3 or fewer
4 or more
Marquis and Billingsley are pitching enough said for me. I think that there might be 3 scored in this prop but I doubt it.
Thanks for reading this and God Bless!!!
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Streaking today
Hello fellow streakers! For Americans on the Streak Board it has been a good day for those who picked the US soccer prop and the more aces won very handily by Sam Querrey. I unfortunately didn't pick either of the. But for the Serena pick I went against my gut and well lost. The win for the US soccer team is big. I don't know neccesarily big for the viewing or money incentives, but it does give loyal American soccer fans something to cheer about. Enough with the chitchat now to my picks.
1. Yankees @ Braves-MLB: 7:05 est.
I will personally tell you that I like the Braves in this one. Joba Chamberlain just gave up a demoralizing loss to the Washington Nationals. Although I will not blame this on him alone (because he only allowed 3 earned runs) and he has a batting line-up that against the Nationals should be able to get 10-12 runs on them. On the flipside Kawakami just pitched against the Boston Red Sox and had only 2 earned runs in 6 innings pitched. And the Braves batters have been alot more consistent. I would alot rather have a consistent hitting team than a bunch of inconsistent "Bronx Bombers". In a realistic manner of thinking these guys at NY are used to hitting the balls out of the park and not necessarily playing strategic baseball. Pitchers own them the last few games (5-1 with a 2.5 ERA).
SM reason for this prop?: Simple we're all supposed to look at the Yankees and think that since they have Joba and are an AL "powerhouse" so to speak we should choose them. I'm not buying it!
Vegas Odds: Yankees: -133 @Braves: +123
http://sports.bodog.com/
ESPN Simulator: Braves: 52% Yankees: 48%
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/preview?gameId=290624115
Weather: Should not be a problem. Only says about a 10% chance on www.weather.com.
2. LSU @ Texas-CBASE: 7:00 est.
I really like the Tigers in this one. LSU has consistently played better in the College World Series although they have hung on by the skin of their teeth. If you look at pitching match-ups look at LSU and think a no brainer. Anthony Ranaudo - 9.1 IP, 9 H, 2 ER, 8 K, 4 BB, 1.93 ERA. vs. Cole Green - 13.0 IP, 14 H, 5 ER, 14 K, 4 BB, 3.75 ERA. Although all the stats seem pretty tight. ERA is heavily in favor. I realize that there is a difference in innings but you can't argue with a 1.9 ERA it is pretty good. Both teams have hitters which if you think about it ERA is a pretty important thing when talking about pitchers going against power hitting teams.
SM reason for this prop?: Of course its a championship game and very time consuming. I would recommend not taking this if you are looking at getting a 10:05 pick in. But these two teams are pretty evenly matched. Both power hitters and good fielding. I only give the edge to LSU for the slight pitching and momentum boost they have.
Vegas Odds: LSU:-150 ,Texas:+130
Weather: Don't panic about the weather. There is supposed to be a 10-15% chance of precip.,but nothing major according to www.weather.com
3. Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay-MLB: 7:08 est.
Well an interesting prop indeed. You don't see many of these who will have the leads after the 5th inning props. But I will put my streak on the line with it. The Phillies are the best road team in the majors. But Joe Blanton is nowhere near the feat. With the Rays bats and a rematch of he World series I will take the Rays for this prop. The Phills are just as apt to make a come back and win but I like the Rays with Longoria and Crawford and company to get out and after Blanton early.
4. St. Louis @ New York Mets-MLB:7:10 est.
I am a huge Cards fan. But with all of that aside I really like the Mets. I am not nearly as impressed with the starting rotations as some. Brad Thompson can pitch well. But after looking at the stats on this Nieve guy 2-0 1.84 ERA. At home I will take him. But Beltran is still out of the line-up. I really feel strongly about the Mets here.
Vegas Odds: St. Louis Cardinals: -105 @ New York Mets:-105
ESPN Simulator: Cardinals: 50% (underdog), Mets:50% (favorite)
SM reason for this prop?: Statistically a dead even matchup. With two gem throwing potential pitchers.
Weather: I do think that there could be rain. According to www.weather.com they say that there is a 40% chance of rain. So beware but still will probably go without a delay or at most a minimal delay.
5. Minnesota @ Milwaukee-MLB: 8:05 est.
Well as far as a "lock" I would nearly call this one that. Milwaukee has had its woes in the recent. Blackburn is no slouch and Minnesota owns Milwaukee this season (4-0). Mike Cameron is the only bright spot in the Brewers line-up against the Twins. Mauer, Morneau, and Joe Crede can hit so I think the Twins pile it on and win big with Blackburn getting the CG.
Vegas Odds: Twins:-119 @Brewers+109
ESPN Simulator: Minnesota 56%, Milwaukee 44%
SM reason for this prop?: I really don't know unless he thinks there is going to be an upset.
Weather: 60% precip may have delays!
6. Dallas (Win/Draw) @ Colorado (Win)-MLS: 9:30 est.
I don't know much about MLS, but from what I have seen Colorado is the heavy favorite with good momentum coming into this game. Dallas also had a good win before this this match. So a momentus home team. I'll take Colorado in a 2-1 game.
Vegas Odds: Dallas win- +360 Dallas draw-+250, Colorado win -140.
SM reason for this prop?:A momentus home team against a team coming off of a momentus victory!
7. Colorado @ Los Angeles Angels-MLB: 10:05 est.
I really think that Colorado takes this one. Marquis and Saunders are even pretty much as far as pitching matchups are concerned. But Marquis has went through games longer. He also has seemed to get more run support. Marquis is hotter lately and Rockies have went on a run lately. Very close game but Marquis and the Rocks close it out.
Vegas Odds: Colorado: +130 LAA: -140
ESPN Simulator: Colorado: 43% LAA: 57%
Weather: No significant amounts of precip. expected.
8. San Diego @ Seattle-MLB: 10:10 est.
I am not falling for the 90% curse again. I think in general the Padres are a better team. I expect them to come out and win. Both pitchers suck so expect a high one. But something just says go with San Diego. So I will.
Vegas Odds: San Diego: +132, Seattle: -142.
ESPN Simulator: Seattle: 60%, San Diego: 40%
SM reason for prop?: Two inconsistent pitchers and two evenly matched teams.
Weather: No significant precip. expected.
Good luck, Happy Streaking and God Bless everyone!!
1. Yankees @ Braves-MLB: 7:05 est.
I will personally tell you that I like the Braves in this one. Joba Chamberlain just gave up a demoralizing loss to the Washington Nationals. Although I will not blame this on him alone (because he only allowed 3 earned runs) and he has a batting line-up that against the Nationals should be able to get 10-12 runs on them. On the flipside Kawakami just pitched against the Boston Red Sox and had only 2 earned runs in 6 innings pitched. And the Braves batters have been alot more consistent. I would alot rather have a consistent hitting team than a bunch of inconsistent "Bronx Bombers". In a realistic manner of thinking these guys at NY are used to hitting the balls out of the park and not necessarily playing strategic baseball. Pitchers own them the last few games (5-1 with a 2.5 ERA).
SM reason for this prop?: Simple we're all supposed to look at the Yankees and think that since they have Joba and are an AL "powerhouse" so to speak we should choose them. I'm not buying it!
Vegas Odds: Yankees: -133 @Braves: +123
http://sports.bodog.com/
ESPN Simulator: Braves: 52% Yankees: 48%
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/preview?gameId=290624115
Weather: Should not be a problem. Only says about a 10% chance on www.weather.com.
2. LSU @ Texas-CBASE: 7:00 est.
I really like the Tigers in this one. LSU has consistently played better in the College World Series although they have hung on by the skin of their teeth. If you look at pitching match-ups look at LSU and think a no brainer. Anthony Ranaudo - 9.1 IP, 9 H, 2 ER, 8 K, 4 BB, 1.93 ERA. vs. Cole Green - 13.0 IP, 14 H, 5 ER, 14 K, 4 BB, 3.75 ERA. Although all the stats seem pretty tight. ERA is heavily in favor. I realize that there is a difference in innings but you can't argue with a 1.9 ERA it is pretty good. Both teams have hitters which if you think about it ERA is a pretty important thing when talking about pitchers going against power hitting teams.
SM reason for this prop?: Of course its a championship game and very time consuming. I would recommend not taking this if you are looking at getting a 10:05 pick in. But these two teams are pretty evenly matched. Both power hitters and good fielding. I only give the edge to LSU for the slight pitching and momentum boost they have.
Vegas Odds: LSU:-150 ,Texas:+130
Weather: Don't panic about the weather. There is supposed to be a 10-15% chance of precip.,but nothing major according to www.weather.com
3. Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay-MLB: 7:08 est.
Well an interesting prop indeed. You don't see many of these who will have the leads after the 5th inning props. But I will put my streak on the line with it. The Phillies are the best road team in the majors. But Joe Blanton is nowhere near the feat. With the Rays bats and a rematch of he World series I will take the Rays for this prop. The Phills are just as apt to make a come back and win but I like the Rays with Longoria and Crawford and company to get out and after Blanton early.
4. St. Louis @ New York Mets-MLB:7:10 est.
I am a huge Cards fan. But with all of that aside I really like the Mets. I am not nearly as impressed with the starting rotations as some. Brad Thompson can pitch well. But after looking at the stats on this Nieve guy 2-0 1.84 ERA. At home I will take him. But Beltran is still out of the line-up. I really feel strongly about the Mets here.
Vegas Odds: St. Louis Cardinals: -105 @ New York Mets:-105
ESPN Simulator: Cardinals: 50% (underdog), Mets:50% (favorite)
SM reason for this prop?: Statistically a dead even matchup. With two gem throwing potential pitchers.
Weather: I do think that there could be rain. According to www.weather.com they say that there is a 40% chance of rain. So beware but still will probably go without a delay or at most a minimal delay.
5. Minnesota @ Milwaukee-MLB: 8:05 est.
Well as far as a "lock" I would nearly call this one that. Milwaukee has had its woes in the recent. Blackburn is no slouch and Minnesota owns Milwaukee this season (4-0). Mike Cameron is the only bright spot in the Brewers line-up against the Twins. Mauer, Morneau, and Joe Crede can hit so I think the Twins pile it on and win big with Blackburn getting the CG.
Vegas Odds: Twins:-119 @Brewers+109
ESPN Simulator: Minnesota 56%, Milwaukee 44%
SM reason for this prop?: I really don't know unless he thinks there is going to be an upset.
Weather: 60% precip may have delays!
6. Dallas (Win/Draw) @ Colorado (Win)-MLS: 9:30 est.
I don't know much about MLS, but from what I have seen Colorado is the heavy favorite with good momentum coming into this game. Dallas also had a good win before this this match. So a momentus home team. I'll take Colorado in a 2-1 game.
Vegas Odds: Dallas win- +360 Dallas draw-+250, Colorado win -140.
SM reason for this prop?:A momentus home team against a team coming off of a momentus victory!
7. Colorado @ Los Angeles Angels-MLB: 10:05 est.
I really think that Colorado takes this one. Marquis and Saunders are even pretty much as far as pitching matchups are concerned. But Marquis has went through games longer. He also has seemed to get more run support. Marquis is hotter lately and Rockies have went on a run lately. Very close game but Marquis and the Rocks close it out.
Vegas Odds: Colorado: +130 LAA: -140
ESPN Simulator: Colorado: 43% LAA: 57%
Weather: No significant amounts of precip. expected.
8. San Diego @ Seattle-MLB: 10:10 est.
I am not falling for the 90% curse again. I think in general the Padres are a better team. I expect them to come out and win. Both pitchers suck so expect a high one. But something just says go with San Diego. So I will.
Vegas Odds: San Diego: +132, Seattle: -142.
ESPN Simulator: Seattle: 60%, San Diego: 40%
SM reason for prop?: Two inconsistent pitchers and two evenly matched teams.
Weather: No significant precip. expected.
Good luck, Happy Streaking and God Bless everyone!!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)